SocraticGadfly

January 26, 2013

With death of #StanTheMan, who's now Mr. Cards, #StlCards fans?

Stan Musial / Baseball-Reference
Stanley Frank Musial was officially laid to rest today, of course, after fans had their chance for a fond public farewell on Thursday, as the city of St. Louis mourned not only its greatest sports icon ever, but, possibly its greatest icon ever, period

Per the inductees list of the St. Louis Walk of Fame, Marlin Perkins or Phyllis Diller might be the top challenger among people even older than me, though I met Marlin myself. People my age would probably tab Tina Turner at No. 1. A generation older yet, Charles Lindbergh is probably the only real competitor to Stan, but he spoiled that with his stubborn isolationism.

That said, Red Schoendienst, Bob Gibson, Lou Brock and Ozzie Smith, along with broadcaster Bob Costas, are also on the Walk.

Since Costas have moved beyond just the Cardinals, and wasn't a player, let's look at the other four.

Who's your vote for "Mr Cardinal"? Either on sentiment or estimation of popularity?

Lou Brock / Sports Illustrated
I rule out Red. In Musial's shadow, and at his age, even if fans anointed him, it would be a "caretaker" role.

Gibson still doesn't seem to have the glad-handing personality for a role like this.

I say that it's Brock's to lose for now, with the Wizard second. Not that anybody could fully replace Musial, of course.

But, expect Lou to make some golf cart trips in Busch the next postseason appearance for the Cards, which we hope is this year.

So cast your vote below! You even have the option of calling the idea sacrelige!


Free polls from Pollhost.com
Who is or should be the new "Mr. Cardinal"?

Red   Bob Gibson   Lou Brock   Ozzie Smith   Sacrilege!     


January 25, 2013

#Stlcards — trade David Freese for C.C. Sabathia?

Hear me out on this one.

Yankee general manager Brian Cashman says A-Fraud, aka Alex Rodriguez, could be out the entire year. Wow. Kevin Youkilis won't hold up there a whole year, there's nobody of value on the free agent list and I'm sure the Yankee farm system is toast.

Food for thought ... Cards and David Freese are reportedly trying to work out a deal beyond arbitration for this year, to get Freese a second year under contract.

Here's a wild trade idea. If the Yankees will eat a fair amount of his salary .... Freese for C.C. Sabathia, straight up. It would give the Cards more flexibility in dealing with any new contract with Chris Carpenter, or with Adam Wainwright, for that matter, while their younger arms continue their development. And, I'd throw in one, maybe two, depending on who, of the Cards' pitching prospects.)

Robinson Cano doesn't have enough contract time left to make a good deal for the Cards. Ditto on Curtis Granderson and Hiroki Kuroda, since they're all free agents after this year. And, the Yankees don't have anybody else that I want.

As for dollar amounts on the "salary eating"? One-third of his total would be plenty. Pricing his contract ahead to out years, I might settle for one-quarter.

Why would the Yankees even consider this?

I'm taking Cashman at his word about cutting salary numbers. A low contract like Freese nails down 3B for a few years and gives him flexibility on resigning Cano and even making a run at resigning Granderson if the numbers are right.

But why Freese? Well, Youk was a desperation move. The Yankees are highly unlikely to bring him back in 2014. And, if you think Joe Girardi wants A-Rod doing much of anything besides DH-ing in 2014 ...

Does the US Senate 'pro forma' session need reforming?

I'm kind of two minds about this. Not sure whether it's more an abuse of power by the minority party in the Senate, or whether the DC Court of Appeals ruling is ultimately correct.

And, just what is that ruling?

The DC Circuit Court has ruled that multiple appointments President Barack Obama made to the National Labor Relations Board during a Senate recess were unconstitutional.
The Obama administration has repeatedly asserted that the appointments to the N.L.R.B. were legitimate because he made them when the Senate was away during a 20-day holiday recess a year ago. The appeals court strongly disagreed, ruling that the Senate was technically in session because it was gaveled in and out every few days as part of a tactic that created “pro forma” sessions. 
I don't know if SCOTUS will uphold the appellate court ruling or not, but this is a biggie on balance of powers issues.

More here from the LA Times; use "porn mode" to defeat the paywall as needed.
In Friday’s decision, Chief Judge David Sentelle ruled for the challengers and said a “recess” refers to the break when Congress formally adjourns after a two-year session.
“An interpretation of 'the Recess' that permits the President to decide when the Senate is in recess would demolish the checks and balances inherent in the advice-and-consent requirement, giving the President free rein to appoint his desired nominees at any time he pleases, whether that time be a weekend, lunch, or even when the Senate is in session and he is merely displeased with its inaction. This cannot be the law,” said Sentelle, an appointee of President Reagan. He was joined by Judges Karen Henderson and Thomas Griffith, who are also Republican appointees.
The big question is, which is not clear, is will the appellate court ruling, if it stands, invalidate the NLRB rulings made since the most recent recess appointments? If it does, then we damn well better have some liberal groups suing over every Bush-era recess appointment, too.

Yes, that would be boatloads of chaos, but, better that than letting a one-sided ruling stand.

This is clearly an act of conservative judicial activism, otherwise.

January 24, 2013

Raise your hand if you thought Harry Reid had balls

Instead of passing pseudo-filibuster reform.

If your hand was raised, you probably think Dear Leader is actually going to do all that gun control stuff, and that Lanny Breuer's replacement will actually crack down on the banksters. (Tough hires at the SEC may look great, but that's just civil enforcement, folks.)

 Enjoy two more years of incremental neoliberalism!

Meanwhile, the "pro forma" Senate session may need as much reforming as the filibuster which Harry Reid pretended to touch. I don't know if SCOTUS will uphold the appellate court ruling or not, but this is a biggie on balance of powers issues. (More here from the LA Times; use "porn mode" to defeat the paywall as needed.)

The big question is, which is not clear, is will the appellate court ruling, if it stands, invalidate the NLRB rulings made since the most recent recess appointments? If it does, then we damn well better have some liberal groups suing over every Bush-era recess appointment, too.

Yes, that would be boatloads of chaos, but, better that than letting a one-sided ruling stand.

January 23, 2013

Are we seeing the end of a Fourth Great Awakening?

Per discussion with friends on Facebook, over the book "The Rocks Don't Lie," I'd say the answer is yes. (Partial review of the book below, followed by a jump into discussion.)


The Rocks Don't Lie: A Geologist Investigates Noah's Flood
The Rocks Don't Lie: A Geologist Investigates Noah's Flood by David R. Montgomery

My rating: 4 of 5 stars

A genial refutation of young-earth creationism

Montgomery generally keeps this story about how the earth's geology refutes any version of a literal Noahic flood light on detailed scientific language. And, it is written as a story.

He takes the reader to various geological formations in the world thatr have been key to the development of geology as a science, while narrating how key figures from geology's history have studied and analyzed such formations. At the same time, he narrates the history of Christian theological thought on literal vs non-literal biblical interpretation in general, and specifically on the Noahic flood. He intertwines the two in discussing how different strands of Christian thought reacted to these scientific findings.

Basically, by the end of the 19th century, a literal or semi-literal young-earth creationism (if not 10,000 years or less, certainly no more than 100,000 years) had fallen out of favor with the great majority of theologians in most of the Western world.

With the exception of the United States.

Montgomery puts YEC developments in the historic context of:
1. Anti-evolutionism and the Scopes trial of the 1920s and
2. Anti-communism and the Cold War, etc., of the late 1940s and beyond.

As talk of "culture wars" continues, and as Montgomery stretches YEC roots back to the Second Great Awakening, this is good to remember.

And now, to tie this to a "Fourth Great Awakening."

First, unlike the First Great Awakening. the Second Great Awakening, or the Third Great Awakening, this "Fourth Great Awakening" has a much more political component.

To explain, for people not very familiar with the history of Christianity in America:

The First Great Awakening was Jonathan Edwards, and others, attempting to revitalize the Puritan Calivinist beliefs of New England and the Middle Atlantic colonies in the first half of the 1700s. It was also was intertwined with the growth of Methodism and Baptist denominations. The Second started to battle deism and skepticism, and at its tail end, was connected to the start of sects such as Mormonism and Seventh-Day Adventism. The Third was connected with the late 19th century Social Gospel and reform movements such as the temperance issue.

The First one may have had some connection to the American Revolution; Wiki's entry claims that, but I think it overstates the case. The Second spawned the short-lived Anti-Masonic Party, but was not directly connected to abolitionism. The Third  (I partially accept there was one, but definite more narrowly in time than Wiki) had a bit of a political angle, more in the "Social Gospel" of mainline Protestantism, though, than in the rising Holiness Movement. was a bit more political, but not extremely so.

I also accept the idea of a Fourth Great Awakening, but while I disagree with Wiki that its timeframe for the Third is too long, I think it's too short for the Fourth.

The Fourth relates to the rise of literalism in biblical interpretation and much more. It's definitely the most anti-intellectual of the Great Awakenings.

Evidence for one starting includes that the National Council of Churches "peaked" in the late 50s/early 60s, mainline Protestantism had clergy/laity separating more at that time, and fundamentalism and conservative evangelicalism grew rapidly.

That said, previous "Great Awakenings" shot their Roman candle in 35-45 years, really. (Which is part of why I think Wiki is too long on the Third and too short on the Fourth.)  So ... W's two elections aside, is the Third Awakening pretty much dying? And, does that in part explain some of the vitriol? Angry death spasms?

We're at about the right time frame. Each previous Great Awakening died differently.

The First petered out, as much as anything. The fervor of the Second got a nurture in sects such as Mormonism, Adventism, etc., that got new life in the Third, which also faced American industrialization.

The Fourth had a start, if you will, and was almost stillborn, in the Scopes trial. Not all conservative Christians were young-earth creationists, and so, while they may not have been fully reconciled to Darwinian ideas about evolution, many probably could have halfway accepted a "tamer" version of evolution if combined with old-earth creationism.

But, the Second Red Scare ( the first being after World War I) changed everything. But not by itself. The Civil Rights Movement added a "second stage" to this rocket. (Although black megachurches have grown recently, the Fourth Great Awakening is much more a white Christian phenomenon.)

Because the Fourth Great Awakening tied with this, not just the Second Red Square, it naturally became more political. Non-Catholic parochial schools, battles over school prayer, tax exemptions and more, as well as political appeals, both open and coded, by both Democrats and Republicans, became part of this.

But, now, has it shot its bolt?

It may have. One sign? Per a new Wall Street Journal poll, almost 70 percent of Americans want to keep Roe v. Wade. Gay relationships, if not gay marriage, are also getting more support among centrist Americans.

That said, as I noted, the First Great Awakening pretty much faded out. The Second created the "burned over district," but eventually died down smoothly enough. The Third definitely faded out, after the passage of Prohibition and the fading of political Progressivism.

I don't think the Fourth will end the same way. To riff on T.S. Eliot, if it doesn't end with a bang instead of a whimper, its demise will be more emotionally violent. And, because it's more political, that emotionally violent denouement, which I believe we're seeing now, will have political fallout which none of us can probably fully see at this time.

That depends in part on how much the Democratic party tries to stay progressive on social issues while remaining conservative on financial ones, and even more if some conservative Christian laity become disgusted with a Republican party that panders even more to the rich.

Could we see the Constitution party, which is the closest thing the US has to a Religious Right party, move more fully that way?

It wouldn't surprise me. If a Ron Paul type were to temper his financial libertarianism with a heavier dollop of William Jennings Bryan type populism, that person could indeed lead such a "movement."

If we had parliamentary government, this would be a no-brainer. That said, countries like France, which has a modified presidential-parliamentary hybrid, but more power with the president than the leader of parliament, have multiparty government. The problem here in the US is, of course, the Electoral College system. One could have a spectrum of parties in Congress without it, and lesser parties focusing on Congressional elections.

New terrm, same Obama, same love for #banksters

If you didn't want last night's Frontline on Dear Leader's abysmal failure to pursue criminal actions against the too big to indict banksters, you need to. You'll learn about just how much in the tank the Neoliberal-in-Chief was been during his entire first term.

Go to Frontline now. It's one of the best, hardest hitting episodes I've seen of PBS's investigative journalism program.

In the meantime, here's a good summary from Salon. Not only is it a good summary, you'll learn yet new information at the end of it about how Obama is not only in the tank to the banksters, but, how he personally is petulant and thin-skinned.

Wake up, folks. Vernon Jordan took him on a dog-and-pony show before a bunch of Wall Streeters way back in 2003 for their USDA Prime seal of approval. (He got it.)

Also, don't forget Obama's even more special relationship to one bankster. Dear Leader has at least $500,000 reasons to "show his gratitude" to Dimon and JPMorgan.

The thin skinned and petulant's not at all a shock to me, but to those of you who think the "constitutional law scholar" actually is one, perhaps you still need some enlightenment, as documented at the end of this post. And, it's there indeed, trust me.

Note first this pair of grafs, though:
The piece by PBS reporter Martin Smith looks at how Obama has driven federal prosecutions of financial crimes down to a two-decade low. ...

In the single most damning part of the PBS report, we learn that Breuer, fresh off a lucrative stint defending Moody’s and Halliburton, was appointed by President Obama to head the Justice Department’s criminal enforcement division and was soon sculpting this unprecedented ideology and embedding it into the department’s mission.
Followed by this:
PBS reporter Martin Smith just reported that in response to his report, the Obama White House has decided to block access to Frontline reporters in their future reporting.
If you're still puffing on that Inaugural Address fattie, put it down, wake up, and smell the neoliberal coffee, dammit.

Oh, and to riff on Ronald Reagan (Obama's hero) in 1990, about Mr. Breen and microphones, since PBS gets my (and your) tax dollars?

"Mr. Obama, I paid for that microphone."