SocraticGadfly: 4/6/25 - 4/13/25

April 11, 2025

No, Trump didn't "cave" on tariffs — and Xi won't either

To update what I posted on Substack yesterday? (Where we know Trump's list of 50 or 75 or 247 countries that want to talk turkey is a lie?)

Trump did not remove his pre-April tariffs in general.

And, he didn't remove ANY of his tariffs on China.

And, he made clear Thursday morning that the tariff rate on China is now at 145 percent. China, as of yesterday, had fired back up to 84 percent plus blacklisting a number of US companies. And today, Friday? It's gone up to 125 percent. And now, Vietnam is trying to cordon itself off from China. Still won't help the American shoe industry as Vietnam got socked with its own tariffs, though that's among those that have been suspended, for now.

It's why the Dow went back in the tank yesterday morning.

Ergo, contra Mark Ames, who claimed on Shitter Wednesday evening that Trump got rolled, no such thing has happened. Wishing that Schopenhauer's "The World as Will and Idea" were true, as I noted over there with Trump (and Hitler and Stalin) t'aint so means it's not so for Ames, or others thinking along this line.

Add in the fact that House GOP wingnuts squared caved to Trump yesterday only underscores this

The likes of Ames should know better on this, too.

Besides, according to his own staff, if he was "semi-rolled," it was the bond market, not the stock market. 

Friday's stock market whipsawed, but many experts said, don't get in if you don't have to.

It will plunge again as Trump'x belief that Chinese president Xi Jinping needs to cave to him by picking up the phone ain't happening. Here's that Dum Fuq saying that "You are proud, but you need to be less proud than me," to read between the lines.

“China wants to make a deal. They just don’t know how quite to go about it,” Trump said on Wednesday during an event at the White House. “You know, it’s one of those things they don’t know quite – They’re proud people.”

To quote Poppy Bush?

Not.Gonna.Happen.

April 10, 2025

Paxton vs Cornyn: Is it close to being officially on?

One event from last week bumps the odds to 90 percent that it's on. 

Another bit of news drops that to 70 percent.

The bump up is related to what looks like bad news for Kenny Boy.

Paxton, per a NYT interview in Dallas, has already talked to people close to The Donald about getting his kiss of anointment. In fact, he had to be reminded by a "campaign" advisor that he hasn't officially announced his campaign yet.

The bad news?

Paxton's aides get $6.6 million in whistleblower suit is the story. Of course, he's appealing it. It wouldn't really hurt him in a 2026 U.S. Senate general election, but in a primary against Big John Cornyn, it will be a lead anchor. Maybe.

That said, per The Barbed Wire, if NYT's grab of internal GOP polling is accurate, will Cornyn even run? 

It puts Paxton ahead of Cornyn right now. 

Given the change in administration, Cornyn's early 2024 jibe to Paxton about running from jail is now moot. And mute.

Cornyn will be 76 years old next year. That's actually not old by the standards of the gerontocracy of the current US Senate. But, he's watched Mitch McConnell fall apart over the past 12 months. Betty Crocker Diane Feinstein die in office. Other members age out more and more.

So, given those polling numbers, it drops back to 70 percent.

If Big John pulls out early enough, does anybody else major jump in? Sid Miller might. Former Land Commish Jerry Patterson might pull a contrarian run. Bushies in Texas, whether family members or otherwise? Not a chance.

And then, who runs to replace Kenny Boy?

Not major, but John Bash has announced his candidacy for AG.

April 09, 2025

Texas Progressives talk vouchers, special elections, more

Off the Kuff encourages the filing of lawsuits to force a CD18 special election onto the calendar. 

SocraticGadfly talks about how Trump's tariffs and other actions could and will affect pro sports teams

We're getting closer to vouchers, with House tweaks to SB2 largely cosmetic, as are further increases to the WADA.

The TSTA Blog scoffs at the notion that the fight for vouchers is somehow a "civil rights" matter.

Elmo Musk is the latest beneficiary of the Lege's ongoing efforts to undermine local control of more and more issues.

Havana Ted is trying to put daylight between himself and The Donald over tariffs, while still leaving plenty of room to butt-kiss as deemed necessary.

No, Trib, you cannot backdate worries over Trump tariffs to late 2024. Rather, it was already likely then that momentum was building for a recession.

The political bottom line of this piece on Dallas tenant lawyer Mark Melton is "why does El Paso Democrat Joe Moody hate tenants?" I get Angie Button and the other Republicans, but, since Moody refused to talk to the Monthly, "he hates tenants."

Neil at the Houston Democracy Project reported on his remarks to the crowd of 6000 at the 50501 protest at Houston City Hall. Houston City Council must join the fight for our freedom.

Texas Monthly takes an Austin-centric view of the Tesla Takedown.  

Evil MoPac gives his next batch of Austin Truths.

 Deceleration reports on the very high cost of cleaning of Texas' fracking water.  

Mean Green Cougar Red has a bit of good news about monarch butterflies.

April 08, 2025

New confabulations from Ken Burns — the American Revolution


I was calling out Ken Burns for promoting American exceptionalism in his PBS documentaries (mockumentaries?) more than 15 years ago. That piece is a roundup of some of the worst of his issues, which I'll tackle in a minute.

But, the photo above, from this Pro Publica piece not actually focused on Ken Burns, but rather on Clarence Thomas, is proof positive of him as that "Empire Whisperer." 

Kudos to Pro Publica for noting in the caption that Koch has financed Burns' movies. He's also financed other things via "The David H. Koch Fund for Science," which long ago pressured PBS to tone down anything it said about climate change.

The latest egregiousness? Burns telling the BBC that he really does talk about the dark side of American history. Besides being bought off by the Kochs, which includes that David Koch apparently bought Burns' silence about the carcinogenic power of petrochemicals, this is simply not true. 

For starters, that link also notes him writing American Indians out of the picture in his librulz-acclaimed National Parks series. And, written out they are. (Also, national parks are not America's greatest idea; the First Amendment is.)

His Vietnam miniseries? A shitload of bland pro-Americanism. I mean, he doesn't interview Daniel Ellsberg, gets Tonkin Gulf wrong, ignores the imperialism and more.

He got both Roosevelts wrong in that mini-series. Well, more, he got the legends of both right, and everything that the legends obscure, wrong. 

He omitted Reconstruction as part of his Civil War series, getting back to the top link, pulling the same switcheroo that White folks both north and south of the Mason-Dixon did at the (in)famous 25th anniversary of Gettysburg.

In all of these things, he's been very White. He didn't talk about how much of the New Deal was Whites-only; he didn't talk as much as he could have about minority contributions to WWII; he didn't at all look at racial issues on Vietnam.

And now, per that Beeb link? He's going to do an American Revolution miniseries to cash in on the semiquincentennial, the 250th anniversary? And, yes, cash in it shall be.

Let's start with this:

Burns doesn't gloss over the uncomfortable parts of US history, pointing out that, for him, being patriotic doesn't mean erasing the past; for instance, the fact that Benjamin Franklin owned slaves. "He knew it was wrong, and he kept doing it," Burns says.

Really? All of the above says this ain't so true. So, Ken, I won't hold my breath over whether or not you mention the Somerset decision as a possible factor in the revolution. I won't hold my breath looking for Lord Dunmore's Ethiopian Regiment of escaped slaves.

Then there's his pop-American historiography:

On the subject of history, Burns says he does not subscribe to the popular view that it is always doomed to repeat itself, deferring to the opinion of the 19th-Century Spanish-American philosopher George Santayana. "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it," was Santanya's comment, in reference to the Holocaust. "It's [a] lovely phrase you'd wish would be true," says Burns. He also points to the famous quote that is attributed to US author Mark Twain: "History doesn't repeat itself, but it does often rhyme."

Really? As I type, Donald Trump is denying that Smoot-Hawley tariffs contributed to the Depression and his sheeple all believe him. 

Beyond that, Twain and Santayana aren't in opposition. Twain was being snarky, first. Second, Twain didn't say that; it's first attributed in 1970. Third, even if he HAD said that, it wouldn't have been in opposition to Santayana, who clearly said "those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it," something entirely different from some "eternal recurrence" idea.

His "10th inning" add-on to "Baseball" was meh and included hero-worship of racist commissioner Kenesaw Mountain Landis.

Even when he's not actually wrong, whether for racist reasons or not, watching Burns, I once noted, is like eating stereotypical Chinese food. 

That said, per the Beeb interview, and to riff on a phrase uttered about FDR?

If he's working on a miniseries about Dear Leader Obama, "The man and the hour have met!"

Or, per NBC, that's "Must not see TV!"

Second child dies from measles as Brainworm Bobby tries to poison others

We now have a second confirmed measles death in Texas, on top of the one in New Mexico; known Texas measles cases likely will be over 500 by the time you read this.

Related? The Trib profiles Lubbock's public health director, Dr. Katherine Wells, including her noting this has a feeling similar to COVID, including the nutters rebelling against public health measures.

Per the profile story, coming just ahead of Brainworm Bobby's visit on Sunday, he caused this:

A Lubbock’s children hospital is now treating children with severe measles who also suffer from vitamin A toxicity. This comes after Kennedy, a vaccine skeptic, directed the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to update the measles guidance to promote the vitamin’s use, which most health experts object to. The Trump administration is eliminating pandemic-era grants that were used to boost the department’s response to the measles outbreak, including paying for employees. And Wells is navigating what could arguably be an even more delicate line than COVID — managing the outbreak of an eradicated, preventable disease, with a worn-out staff and a growing distrust from the public.

Geez o fucking Pete. Vitamin A overdoses can kill you. 

Meanwhile, Wells had her hands full during the latter stages of COVID dealing with nutters not just in the general public but the mayor and one other member of the Lubbock City Council. 

On Brainworm Bobby's visit, he said he has "developed bonds" with area Mennonites. Of course he has; antivaxxers of a feather flock together. It's also "interesting" that, while out in Gaines County, he did NOT attend a news conference being held by the CDC.

That said, he did shat on Shitter Sunday to support vaccination via his official account. To which I said:

If you really believe "the most effective way to prevent the spread of measles is the MMR vaccine" then why are you pushing Vitamin A, which has sent multiple kids to the hospital with Vitamin A poisoning? You look like you're trying to straddle the "sides" of science & stupidity

He has since doubled down on his mix of pseudoscience and arrogance, claiming that his measles protocol should be a model for the world.

What else IS there to say?

Well, Brainworm Bobby, unless he resists, has been asked to say more by Louisiana U.S. Senator Bill Cassidy, both on pushing vaccines and on talking to his Senate committee.

April 07, 2025

Top blogging of March 2025

As is normal, these most popular posts of last month weren't necessarily written IN March. That will be noted as needed.

In No. 10, knowing Tibet's history, I encouraged readers not to shed too many tears (whether crocodile or real) for the Dalai Lama.

At No. 9, from February, Quorum Report's Harvey Kronburg was semi-pissed off. (I assume he still is.)

At No. 8, also from February, I expressed some skepticism over Sy Hersh's claims the US had a mole inside the Wuhan Institute of Virology. (Since then, Sy's been Captain Obvious on several Trump-related posts that are two or three days behind the curve.)

No. 7? From January, my "blogroll update in progress" piece still rides high. (I have done some updating of moving older to newer; among stuff I've yet to move and may not, I miss Independent Political Report very little, and Counterpunch and Ballot-Access News not a lot more, nationally, and Kuff no more at the state level.)

No. 6? A late-January Texas Progressives roundup, which covered Dustin Burrows' start as state Speaker and other things.

No. 5? Speaking indirectly of Kuff? Also from January, a piece about the BlueAnon Nazi mods at r/Texas banning me.

No. 4? From late February, another TP Roundup, this one on measles and Southwest Airlines, among other things.

No. 3? From February, my riffing on David Schenck to call for real Texas judicial reform.

No. 2? The end of an era at Southwest Airlines. (Since then, I've heard from a pilot acquaintance that he doesn't like the changes and that that's very likely nowhere near a solo opinion.)

No. 1? With an ongoing bullet? Part of a semi-ongoing series about The Resistance 2.0, this being its desire to relitigate Russiagate 1.0, in part because they believe that Zelensky really is Churchill. (For a roundup of all my posts on this so far, with additional notes on each, here's my Substack piece.)