
Atomic Dreams: The New Nuclear Evangelists and the Fight for the Future of Energy by Rebecca Tuhus-Dubrow
My rating: 2 of 5 stars
That's probably the biggest thing I learned from this ill-informed book.
I actually should say I relearned it, as I had written about this in 2022, linking the same Counterpunch piece that's below and mentioning Shellenberger in passing.
I don't think the author is duplicitous. I think, rather, she's a mainstream neoliberal-type Democrat who doesn't know better, didn't want to look under the hood at some of the sources of some of her information, and more.
Let's look at that, in an expanded version of my Goodreads review. I will note that learning Shellenberger and various minions of his are behind various astroturfing and semi-astroturfing pro-nuclear power groups is probably the single biggest thing saving this book from a one-star rating.
I begin with some "negatively rhetorical" questions.
So, nuclear power plants are as low-carbon through their entire lifecycle as solar and wind?
Maybe not, if you look at research not done by the U.S. Department of Energy, nuclear power advocates, utility companies and nuclear plant manufacturers. Per Counterpunch with extensive links on this and other nuclear power matters, at worst-case scenario, nuclear is as carbon-intense as natural gas.
OK, Counterpunch is ardently anti-nuclear, more so than I am, but with reasons far beyond this which I agree with more, but let’s split this in half. If nuclear is halfway between wind and solar on one hand, and gas on the other, then it’s still somewhat better than gas, and a lot better than coal, but not the panacea advocates claim, even without all its other issues. Tuhus-Dubrow halfway admits that in the epilogue, but only in passing.
This was, halfway through the book, one of multiple issues that had already cost it 2 if not 2.5 stars, meaning the best it could do was 3 stars and more likely was 2.5 rounded up.
If breeders, molten salt reactors and the long-touted thorium ones are such hot stuff, then why isn’t heavily nuclear France, with top-down national not federal government, not pushing them more? Why isn’t command economy China?
In reality, there’s only five fully commercial breeder reactors in the world. There’s no current commercial thorium-cycle reactors, and thorium, other than possible abundance levels, offers no other major advantages over uranium. There’s no commercial large-scale molten salt reactors, whether thorium fuel cycle ones or not. If nothing else, the two 1970s oil embargoes, before climate change, would have been enough of a research kick that if something viable was there, it would have taken off. Addendum: Via Counterpunch, which discusses how a company like Holtec, which has never ever built a nuclear reactor before (and elsewhere tells us to follow the capitalist money, folks) read this about the truth on small modular reactors vs what the book's interlocutors, and by extension, the author herself, claims.
As for Trump 1.0 taking the gloves off of regulations theoretically hindering new nuclear plant designs?
None of that exists in China. Or Russia. Or, not much so in India.
Next? Cooling a light water reactor in the era of climate change. France had to shut down some of its reactors during the last huge European heat wave in 2022 because streams and rivers adjacent to them were too warm to be effective coolers. This will happen in the US Southwest, too, with drought expected to continue through the end of this century. Inland lakes, rivers and streams will be too warm — and possibly too scarce on water — in southern California and Arizona, and nobody will build or be allowed to build another nuke plant in coastal California. Ditto on water supply in Texas west of I-35. None of this is in the book. The water issue is among the additional items at that Counterpunch link.
Long-term waste? Perhaps Fukushima did say we shouldn’t be alarmist, but that’s not long-term. Citing Sweden’s community model for long-term waste storage? Nice. Omitting France’s top-down national government solution of telling an economically depressed area in Lorraine that “you WILL take it” and here’s some money? Not mentioned. Nor is Russia, China, etc.
Why aren’t pro-nuclear people, whether climate scientists like James Hansen or Michael Schellenberger’s groupies, focused more on getting states outside of California and Aridzona changing state laws on things like “feed-in tariffs” to bolster rooftop solar? (My Texas is horrible compared to California on this.) Apparently the author never asked. She never even thought to ask. Maybe she assumes regulations on renewables are the same from state to state.
And, beyond all this? What gets an additional ding is the old missing index. I mean, this book isn't that long, but it mentions a lot of people and issues.
And beyond this? Not telling the full truth about Shellenberger, who is, say, at least halfway to being Jordan Peterson, and supports fracking among other anti-environmental things. He has written for Bari Weiss’ genocidal Free Press, as well as his own Substack, dived deep into the Twitter Files, is listed on staff at that wingnut University of Austin and more. Is it any wonder that the likes of Eric Meyer, even if not the two women from Canyon Diablo, are perfectly OK with anti-renewables state energy support laws as long as they support nuclear? This LA Review of Books piece has more beyond Wikipedia. It also notes that his re-conversion back to Christianity appears to be of a conservative, fundagelical type, including Genesis 2 and human dominion over the earth. "Evangelist" indeed.
His own Substack posts and notes, beyond what I already noted about him writing for Bari Weiss, show him as a techdudebro fellow traveler, an anti-immigrationist and more.
Weirder yet, which I did not know before, is that he appears to be a real believer on UFOs visiting earth.
Yes, all of this added together is enough to discredit him as a nuclear evangelist. Tuhus-Dubrow does tell you small parts of the above, in brief, and that’s it.
Safety? Directly or indirectly, a lot more people died or will die from Chernobyl than 31 direct deaths. The real answer is thousands at minimum, tens of thousands to approaching 100,000, at upper estimates.
As for waste disposal? Tuhus-Dubrow doesn’t mention that WIPP, near Carlsbad, NM, the main depository for low-level waste, has had problems.
Further discrediting the author? Not mentioning that the Democratic Party stole its Green New Deal, lite version, from the Green Party’s original.
To summarize a review of this book and the larger situation both?
To pun on nuclear reactors? Shellenberger is nuclear poison. Hansen, Bill McKibben, etc., should fully dissociate from him.
Second? The author didn’t do a lot of research, or else she started out with the mindset of ignoring contradictory research to some of her information.
Third, to riff on Michael Grunwald’s new book, energy investment, like land, is not free. Believing in nuclear power silver bullets may undercut research into further improvements in solar, tidal power or other options. M.V. Ramana, among others, has more on that.
There is also the issue, per Ramana, on capitalism and nuclear power. Like Bozo Bezos investing in small-scale nuclear via Amazon and his on Washington Post not mentioning that in a house editorial column. And, like climate change minimizer Bill Gates, who wants to restart Three Mile Island, Bezos wants this for those AI slop data centers that we don't need.
There's also the issue, per my top link, of build-out time for nuclear. Demented Don (I see what I did) may waive every regulation he wants to, but the lawsuits will keep on coming. Meanwhile, wind and especially solar keep improving in efficiency. Your typical light water reactor is not THAT efficient.
Mentioned only in passing by the author? The perils of uranium mining. I grew up in Gallup, New Mexico, and remember when the berm-dam for the tailings pond at the Church Rock mine (owned by a Kerr-McGee subsidiary, by the way!) broke. I've written about that, the economic destructiveness of uranium busts, the environmental damages of uranium ore dust and more.
Yes, today's injection mining may not create radiation-toxic dust in desert and semidesert lands, but it uses a lot of water and could cause problems with aquifers. See here for more.
This Inside Climate News piece notes that currently, very little uranium is mined in the US, but how there's a push to both open new mines and reopen old ones, either on the Colorado Plateau where Gallup is, or the Wyoming Basin. And, this includes the Church Rock mine.
It also notes the US currently has just one diffusion plant for enrichment, just one for processing into fuel and has NO domestic facilities for the fuel needed by more modern plants. Anything we need right now? We get mainly from the Russkies.
There's also the problem that mines in the Southwest, while generally on federal land, also generally abut Indian sacred sites.
Some of the fast-tracked New Mexico mines border the lands of the Acoma and Laguna pueblos. In the nearby Navajo Nation, the new activity has sparked concern.
The Navajo Nation “continues to be affected—not only from abandoned uranium mines and mill sites—but also from other contaminants,” said Perry Charley, chair of the Diné Uranium Remediation Advisory Commission, at a public meeting in August in Shiprock, New Mexico.
From 1944 to 1986, mining activities left more than 500 abandoned mines and an enormous amount of uranium waste in various regions of Navajo land.
Once again, rich White America has zero sensitivity or care.
Let's have Hansen, Bill McKibben et al support not just a robust carbon tax, but one with higher rates on things outside of agriculture and conventional industry. Let's have them speak to Navajos, Laguna and Acomas, then breathe infested sand. That's in part because Bezos and Gates want to inflict these data centers on the whole world, not just the US.
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