Early regional Texas primary predictions

I'm talking regional, above county level, Rethuglicans, and Democraps where available.

I think David Spiller holds on to HD-68. Kerri Kingsberry may win local Cooke County, but not the whole district.

Stacy Swann is running on the D side. 

Update: Spiller won going away.

==

I think SD-30 goes to a runoff, possibly both major parties. For Republicans? Brent Hagenbuch is in, as are one of the two of Carrie de Moor and Jace Yarbrough. I don't know which one. The fourth candidate, Cody Clark, is out. Besides, he's a secessionist, which led the Snooze to unendorse him. 

On the D side, my guess is that Dale Frey wins, no runoff, in a three-person race.

Would be nice if Greens had a candidate. Not holding my breath.

Update: Called this right on the R side in that Hagenbuch is in the runoff and Clark is out. Yarbrough is the other one who's in. De Moor performed poorly.

Got this wrong on the Doink side. Frey not only will not avoid a runoff, he's second to Michael Braxton as of 11 p.m. and yikes, Election Day Doink turnout is in the terlet.

==

CD-26?

Clearly a runoff in the GOP race. Can Brandon Gill make the runoff, with the Kiss of Trump offsetting the PAC blasting him for his financial services work in NYC for "woke" and Chinese-tied companies? Gill, for the unknowing, is also the son-in-law of Dinesh D'Souza. Guess that's why he got the Trump kiss without Trump research. I'm going to guess the less abrasive wingnut-squared John Hoffman is in. I won't venture to call Gill in or out. I'll also add that Scott Armey, while being old-schoolish of sorts, which might have some appeal in more urban parts of the district, won't make the cut, even with all the division otherwise. Robeson, the former state district judge, might be the old-school type to make the runoff instead of Armey.

Sidebar: With the PAC attack on him, and we all know what "Let's Go Brandon" means, are "Let's Go Brandon Gill" yard signs smart or dumb?

Ernest Lineberger is unopposed on the Doink side. Hope Greens run somebody, and somebody real. Hope Libertarians run a non-nutter, non-perennial candidate type, unlike two years ago.

Update: Gill appears to have won outright. The PAC, Conservatives for American Excellence, reportedly opposes wingnut candidates supported by the House Freedom Fries Caucus, worried that any more of them will make the Republican majority (if it holds on) even more fragile and combustible.

==

Outside my immediate area, I note that Loopy Lupe Valdez wants her old job back as Dallas County Sheriff. It's a five-person Dem primary. I expect it will go to a runoff, presumably between her and incumbent first-full-term Sheriff Marian Brown. That said, if Loopy Lupe performs as bad in this race as in her guv run in 2018, it either won't go to a runoff, or if it does, she won't be one of the two finalists.

Update: It is headed to a runoff with those two.