SocraticGadfly: Presidential briefs, Feb. 29: Biden polling, de la Cruz bashing, Michigan

February 29, 2024

Presidential briefs, Feb. 29: Biden polling, de la Cruz bashing, Michigan

Happy Leap Day! Rock on!

Genocide Joe is probably rocking, if Quinnipiac was right a week ago in its poll stating he's up on Trump 49-45 percent. Not the first time recently QP has had him in the lead, and it has a history of GOP lean.

That said, contra Meidas Brothers, where I saw it, if we go beyond the duopoly, QP says the news is not so good:

When the hypothetical matchup is expanded to include independent and Green Party candidates, Biden receives 38 percent support, Trump receives 37 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 15 percent support, independent candidate Cornel West receives 3 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 3 percent support.

I find it hard to believe that Bob Jr. is polling 15 percent and know that won't last.

That ALSO said, Meidas won't tell you there's not so good news for #DementiaDon:

Voters 67 - 31 percent think that President Joe Biden is too old to effectively serve another 4-year term as president, compared to 68 - 28 percent in Quinnipiac University's September 2023 poll.

IF IF IF some of his shite is just "gaffes," his handlers will try to fix that by zipping him up, which means anything off script will look even more zaftig. And, I suppose Meidas et al can spin by saying fewer people in February thought he was dementiaed than did in last September.

Then there's this:

Physical fitness: Biden: 35 percent say yes, 62 percent say no; Trump: 60 percent say yes, 37 percent say no.

Really? The fat bastich from Queens is more fit than Biden?

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If running as a third party candidate, independent candidate or whatever, shouldn't you at least pretend to be actually trying to win? On Twitter last week, there was news that Cornel West has spent almost zero on ballot access so far.

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If running as a third party candidate for a party that doesn't have party line ballot access in most states, shouldn't you address questions about access in a particular state when asked? I emailed Claudia de la Cruz of the Party of Socialism and Liberation about whether or not she and it would be making an effort to get on the Texas ballot when that time comes. So far, I got a mass blast email that did mention the PSL trying to get onto a new high of 23 states' ballots. BUT? It didn't list what those states are; I'm not clicking on a volunteer button until I know that Texas is one of them. (I had said I would publicize Texas petition-signing activities when I contacted them.)

PSL is also supposed to have a Dallas regional contact. I emailed it and have yet to hear back.

That said, a volunteer responded on Twitter that because of Tex-ass onerous burden, they're not seeking by-name ballot access but do plan the much easier write-in status. I told them to tell me when they got that started.

That said, "Pat the Socialist" (the former "Pat the Berner," which Twitter account is not suspended, but rather, no longer exists) claims she "just sucks" on COVID. From what I've seen on Google, she's not totally enlightened, and likes to use the issue to bash capitalism, but I think "just sucks" is an overly harsh take, as I look through responses to him, and his own replies to those. (It should also be noted that I am not a "COVID Doomer." Like Jessica Lexicus, a Grade-A example. Or like Pat the Berner, on multiple)

Side note: Why did Pat delete his Berner account? I mean, those of us who know that was him knows he can't hide from that.

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Re de la Cruz and chasing the write-in status, this does mean that I could, by my political lights, vote in the Texas primary now. Per the SOS, write-in candidates for president merely need statements from themselves AND their Veep (important; they can toss you if you don't have a ticket) and 40 pledged electors with statements of assent.

As for candidates who might be trying the independent tack and would need signatures? Tex-ass will be less close than in 2020, so no stratchery reasons to sign Bob Jr.'s petition. And, the desire to sign Cornel West's petition diminishes in my rearview mirror as he becomes ever more of a goofball. I assume SPUSA's Bill Stodden will go the write-in route, as the late Mimi Soltysik did in 2016. But, it's still a matter of principal combined with a suck-ass ballot. No Dems running for state House. Nothing to really separate Dems running for state Senate. An unopposed Dem in CD-26 I personally think Roland Gutierrez would be better for Senate than Colin Allred. And that Carl Sherman would have been much better off running for Allred's House district.

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The #AbandonBiden (for now, until they presumably sheepdog in November) movement in Michigan to vote "uncommitted" in the Democratic primary got more votes than Marianne Williamson was able to manifest for herself. (And yes, stanners, once again, she does believe in "manifesting" and related shit.) Nonetheless, the New Age quack — and pro-genocidalist by her silence on the issue — thinks she needs to "unsuspend" her campaign.

No, really. As I told her on Twitter:

Speaking of, Mondoweiss has more. That said, as I've said repeatedly on Twitter about THIS, this portion of the #AbandonBiden movement, like the rest of it, means nothing if confined to a few Democratic primaries, and a few high-dollar Arab-American / Muslim-American donors. Call me in November. Rashida Tlaib is a sitting Democrat Congresscritter. She'll be backing #GenocideJoe. Michael Moore? Straight duopolist. Don't believe me? His name is NOT on Jill Stein 2016 endorsees.

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Meanwhile, on the GOP side, Trump underperformed. As he has in every contest so far. He'll blow it off if asked, but his handlers have to be concerned.

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Update, via a Kuff gloat-post in his weekend links. Fuck Greg Sargent, in a piece showing TNR still has one foot in the #BlueAnon world. No Labels' main rationale has not gone away. Rightly or wrongly, many "independents" think Biden in particular and the Democratic Party in general are too far left. Second, Sargent himself, a #BlueAnon of long standing, notes No Labels' caveat not to run a "spoiler" ticket but decides to bash it anyway.

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