The Squad is still the Fraud, despite Ryan Grim's turd-polishing; but, so is the Congressional Progressive Caucus

Most of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, of which The Squad Fraud is a part, sent a letter to Warmonger Joe Monday asking him to push maybe just a tiny bit for negotiations on Ukraine. As Grim spells out at the Intercept, they then had the door slammed shut on them.

Well, no, per the statement (also embedded) on behalf of the caucus by Rep. Pramila Jayapal, its chairperson (pictured at right), they shut the door on themselves in a sense, Ryan. They could have tried pushing back against that "door," but chose not to.

Statement from @RepJayapal reaffirming support for Ukraine and clarifying the position of a letter to President Biden ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/ddcoyHu94H

— Progressive Caucus (@USProgressives) October 24, 2022

That's Groveling 101.

And, surrendering of leverage. Of course, the CPC surrendered leverage when all Dem Congresscritters, including all of the Fraud, voted for Warmonger Joe's first big Ukrainian arms bazaar bill. And, before AOC, Ilhan, etc. speak out, the Tweet above says Jayapal as CPC chair was speaking for the caucus, not just herself. (And, I checked AOC's Twitter Tuesday night.)

But wait, it gets better, which Grim's article was written too early to reveal.  And, that's seeing Jayapal throw her own staff under the bus:

"The Congressional Progressive Caucus hereby withdraws its recent letter to the White House regarding Ukraine. 

"The letter was drafted several months ago, but unfortunately released by staff without vetting. As chair of the Caucus, I accept responsibility for this."

Wow. Also "wow" is those trying to defend this, claiming that staff wrote this up in June or July, got the 30 who signed it to sign then, and there it sat, doing nothing, until the CPC policy director hit "send." So, you're defending Jayapal by claiming that she's not progressive and has a staff who recognizes it.

This:

Fewer than 1/3 of the Caucus signed the letter when written in June. That’s why they couldn’t release it in July. The policy director who was running the effort and two outside groups pushed to get it out. It’s not clear if more than 1 or 2 Members knew it was going, if that.

— Joe Cirincione (@Cirincione) October 26, 2022

But, note that Joe Cirincione is a member of the Nat-Sec Nutsacks™. And, he is essentially claiming that Progs Caucus staff didn't trust Jayapal, or rather, that they DID trust her to be exactly who she showed she is — someone who will grovel like a newspaper-smacked puppy by the military-industrial complex. And, the staff was right.

And, over at Rumble, Lee Camp destroys these claims by Cirincione and his ilk.

And then, there's people on that same Twitter feed saying replace Jayapal with AOC, when the real answer is "replace your AOC romance with a 'duopoly exit.'" For you folks, also from that Jayapal statement:

Democrats ... have strongly and unanimously supported and voted for every package of military (aid).

What part of "strongly and unanimously" do you not understand? Beyond my blogging about the Fraud's initial sellout?

And, since Grimm's article, for whatever reason, doesn't link to their original statement, let's go there. And quote:

But as legislators responsible for the expenditure of tens of billions of U.S. taxpayer dollars in military assistance in the conflict, we believe such involvement in this war also creates a responsibility for the United States to seriously explore all possible avenues, including direct engagement with Russia, to reduce harm and support Ukraine in achieving a peaceful settlement.

There you go.

You just surrendered your leverage, per your groveling response of saying you're going to vote for all new expenditures, or, per a sex-neutral upgrade of a famous LBJ saying?

You just put your gonads in Biden's pocket.

There you go.

Of course, the Congressional Progressive Caucus itself has become more and more bullshit. Per its own website, it has nearly 100 members, or 40 percent of the Dem Congressional caucus. If you think everybody in there is truly progressive, I've got beachfront in North Dakota to sell you. Proof of that? If those nearly 100 members, only 30 signed the letter to Warmonger Joe.

It's ALSO of course, interesting that the CPC says "we're nearly 100 members" but doesn't list them all by name on that link, probably because they know people like me would laugh. Well, if you click through from that link to "caucus members" you'll see them all. That includes the many who cut Israel blank checks (remember that dispute flaring up just a few weeks ago?).From here in Tex-ass, I can tell you Eddie Bernice Johnson is no progressive and Lloyd Doggett is not much better. Nor is Sylvia Garcia. Jared Huffman puts capitalism in front of environment at Point Reyes. And, I haven't even talked about members that oppose BDS.

Update, Nov. 18: Will the CPC call out Warmonger Joe's lying lackey about Russian missiles?

==

Update: All of the Squad but one (Tlaib) is also the Fraud on railway workers issues, as was about all of the CPC in general.

Texas Progressives talk start of midterms voting

SocraticGadfly has two strategery thoughts related to the midterms nationally, namely that neither inflation whataboutism of the Pelosi stripe, nor "But Republicans" (and the implied "Only Republicans" by Team Blue activists on entitlements privatization, are likely to work well with independent-minded independent voters.

Read about the secret plan to try to bring private school vouchers to the state.

Off the Kuff interviews Rochelle Garza, who would be the best Attorney General the state has had since the 90s if elected.

Axe 'em ALL, Jacks, seems to be the sentiment in Nac, at least the community sentiment, to Stephen F. Austin joining one of the four statewide Texas university systems. (Well, Tech's isn't statewide, if it's just Tech and Midwestern.)

How much trouble is Lina Hidalgo in? I'd say it might not be as bad as the Trib hints. But, it's not nothing.

Ill Eagle crossings are up, and not just in Texas. That said, many are from Venezuela, per the story, where Eagle Hunter Joe has invoked Title 42 health standards against them.

Trump continues to stiff the city of El Paso for $500K.

In something very problematic, the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals (and what ruling by it is NOT problematic?) has said, in originalism on steroids, the funding mechanism for the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau is unconstitutional. This is, of course, a wedge or camel's nose issue for the Fifth.

The Dallas Observer reports on the violence that Texas nurses are seeing at their workplaces.

The Houston Press lists ten MRA and incel red flags to look for.

Paradise in Hell shakes his head at the DNA kit rollout in Texas elementary schools.

Steve McCraw, throwing Uvalde shade

Steve McCraw has thrown the first DPS trooper under the bus over Uvalde. The DPS head has yet to say if larger DPS instructional problems were any part of the cause for someone like Sgt. Juan Maldonado not taking over in the first place. Of course, it's easy to throw underlings under the bus when you continue to stonewall the media (and others) by refusing to release public information. In some degree of fairness, the Monthly notes that Uvalde County DA Christina Busbee Mitchell, a Republican whose responses to various post-shooting issues have drawn hatred from both the Republican identified mayor of the city and the Democratic state senator, wants an airtight lid on her investigation that not only may, but probably will, indict nobody, and could be a whitewashing in its own right without any prodding from McCraw or Strangeabbott.

Here's Forrest Wilder on that possibility:

If the lawsuit fails, one possible scenario is that Busbee ends up not prosecuting any of the cops, or fails to secure a conviction. In either case, the Uvalde records could fall into a legal black hole, never to see the light of day. That’s because a provision in open-records law allows officials to block the release of records when a criminal investigation doesn’t result in a conviction, including in cases in which the suspect dies. (Which explains why it’s often referred to as the “dead-suspect loophole.”) The intent of the law is to protect the innocent, but over the years it has been twisted to shield police from scrutiny in high-profile cases, such as the 2019 death of Javier Ambler while he was in the custody of Williamson County sheriff’s deputies. 

It’s possible, then, that the truth about Uvalde died with the gunman, Salvador Ramos.

Interestingly, her LinkedIn notes that she's an active Catholic. Surely this is part of what's playing out in the fracturing of Uvalde's Sacred Heart, as blogged here recently, if she's a member there.

Wilder then notes that enforcement of the state's Public Information Act is in the hands of Kenny Boy Paxton. He politely avoids stating is like the fox and the henhouse.

Update: Uvalde parents called for him to resign. His response? An Overton Window shifting on what circumstances would lead for him to resign.

Beto-Bob is within 2 points of Strangeabbott? Color me skeptical

That's the claim of a new poll from Beacon Research posted today, that claims Beto-Bob, aka Robert Francis O'Rourke, is within 3 percentage points of Greg Abbott, and 2 percentage points among definite voters.

It contradicts everything we've heard in the past couple of weeks, or even past month, that said O'Rourke's effort to close the gap has stalled out, as I blogged just earlier today about the UT poll from late last week. It's why I doubted, a week ago, that Beto would catch up. In addition, among people who have identified as very likely voters in previous polls, the gap between the two has been GREATER than among plain old registered voters, and here the gap is a percentage point SMALLER.

And, as KXAN notes at the first link, Beacon does polling on behalf of progressive groups and Democrats. Stuff like this is GOTV efforts disguised as polls, no matter who does it.

To put it more bluntly?

"Dear Beacon: Try not to be so obvious."

Thoughts on this year's races as early voting starts

This will incorporate reflections on the polls at right, and also build on my "Gadfly slate" of last Friday.

First, here in Tex-ass, statewide offices.

I'm not yet ready to say Strangeabbott's odds against Beto-Bob are in above 80 percent, but they are at 70-79 percent. And, barring Kenny Boy Paxton busted for fucking the wife of a Republican official, if Strangeabbott wins, so does every other statewide Rethuglican. Jeebus Shot Sid Miller wins. Wayne "Oil Wells Are" Christian wins. Kenny Boy wins. So do others.

The Lege? I'm not analyzing 150 House races, or even 31 Senate races. Let's say the GOP gains two in the House and holds serve in the Senate. Dade Phelan holds on as Speaker.

Nationally? New inflation concerns, thanks to the latest OPEC cuts, plus tight diesel stocks, have slackened the sails of earlier Democratic tailwinds, as Jeet Heer notes at The Nation, with me discussing in more detail here. So, I've revised downward thoughts I had just a week ago.

And, I mentioned "denialism" in Nancy Pelosi's take on the inflation issue. Susan Glasser at New Yorker applies that word to Warmonger Joe's take on the whole election.

The Senate, I think, odds are about 50 percent it stays 50-50. I had originally had this at a bit above 50-50 that Dems hold serve or improve.

The House poll was the first one I started, when inflation was really bad. Wingnut nominees on the GOP side stand better chances in the House than the Senate. Inflation dipped, but now, gas prices have crept back up. I don't think Dems will lose 50, but, losing 40 wouldn't surprise me.

This could well make Kevin McCarthy as Speaker a slightly loonier, yet ultimately as wingnut-squared-challenged, as Boozing Boehner or Eddie Muenster Ryan. With that big of a majority, the Lauren Boeberts (if re-elected) and Marjorie Taylor Greenes will run wild and might not even be the worst.

Of course, that would relieve Nancy Pelosi of the onus of considering violating her pledge to step down as Speaker. It would also relieve AOC of the onus of having to vote against her, if she did that, in an even tighter House.

Abbott expands lead on Beto-Bob and why? "It's the economy, stupid"

Well, that's not the only reason, but that's a good starting point for why Greg Abbott, aka Strangeabbott, is up 11 points among likely voters in the Texas gov's race vs. Beto O'Rourke, aka Beto-Bob. (Per my "Gadfly slate" post Friday, this confirms that I'm likely to undervote this race. O'Rourke isn't going to win, and he's been a panderer deluxe on the campaign trail; as for options to him, I'm not voting for Second Amendment absolutist Delilah Barrios, even if she is a green. (Hold that thought; I'll have more on the Texas Green Party after the election.)

It may not be fair, per details of the polling, that the environment is the only thing voters trust Beto-Bob on more than Strangeabbott. But, there it is. And, the 50-50 split among Hispanic voters show that, whether it's a real concern or one inflated by Strangeabbott, Hispanics are concerned about immigration, even if Operation Lone Star really isn't doing much.

A 55 percent majority even supports Strange's busing of Ill Eagles out of state.

As for the header? "The state economy" was the second-largest concern among all likely voters, even though it didn't crack the top four among Democrats. Really? In denialism for the sake of a poll, like Passive Pelosi™ trying to pretend inflation doesn't exist (which also comes off as a bit New Agey, and contra Aaron Rodgers, "manifestation" doesn't exist), and Inflationmonger Joe of the frantic SPR releases?

Between various grocery stores last Saturday, I noticed that staples like brown rice are up again. "It's the economy stupid, and it's personal." It's not fair for state politicians to be judged on a national issue they can't control — setting aside the issue of how much or how little presidents can control the economy, and how much or how little they can control specific situations related to the economy. But, it is what it is; and, for both likely voters at the state level, and their candidates, to practice denialism? (That said, Strange hasn't said anything about the economy, but he doesn't need to.)

A 55 percent majority also favors stricter gun control laws, but Beto-Bob the Panderer, or Bob on a Knob, as I've called him before, has backed off that in places like Muleshoe. I mean, four years ago, Loopy Lupe Valdez was clueless. O'Rourke doesn't even have that excuse. Per my hammering O'Rourke as a bad strategerist? Abbott has an 11 point lead in the suburbs. I mentioned more of him needing to visit exurbs rather than suburbs per se, but the general idea applies.

Last note: 1 percent of Dems support Barrios; 0 percent of Rethugs support Libertarian candidate Mark Tippetts. That says something right there, doesn't it? 

Meanwhile, one lady I responded to, on Bud Kennedy's tweeting of the poll, brought out the state-level version of a "Vote for Stein is a vote for Trump." I reminded her (or informed her if she didn't know) that both duopoly parties have engaged in third-party vote suppression, as well as that a vote for somebody is a vote for somebody.

==

Update: There's a new poll claiming Beto-Bob has made the race a statistical dead head. I am skeptical.