Simplicius: Russian disinformation operator?

I have written about good old Simplicius and his questionable insight on the Russia-Ukraine war before, not just once with a general callout, but also calling out the further nuttery at his second Substack being conspiracy theory nutterism, including trafficking in some antisemitic conspiracy theories.

So? Per this piece, he's a nutter in general if he's postulating a Stuxnet (which he spells as "Stux-net"; is English not his first language?) type operation against the Russian drones that flew over Poland early this month.

The incident was obviously very strange because, while a few errant Russian drones had maybe fallen over other countries here and there—after likely being jammed off their course—this has never happened in such a large scale. This heavily suggests something very fishy, in the way of either a false flag or a coordinated campaign; that is to say, something like an Israeli Stux-net or “pager” operation where a large amount of Russian drones are “tampered with” before hand, whether that’s by digital infection of firmware via virus, or something else. 

There were several signs pointing to the ‘false flag’ explanation, for instance a photo of a Russian drone that landed on a Polish “chicken coop” that shows the drone taped together with literal duct tape

Hell, I think the idea that he's Russian-controlled disinformation is more likely to be true.  

As for the photos he claims show a false flag? WHOSE photos? Was this just rando NAFO nutter types?

He then abandons this to postulate that the seven Alternativ für Deutschland Nordrhein-Westfallen state election candidates who died earlier this month were surely offed. Snopes, with links to German media stories, says otherwise. 

He then pivots back to Russia, posting video from a racist like "Bebo."

Meanwhile? If Simplicius still thinks he understands Trump on Ukraine, the fact that the Donald talked to Zelensky at the UN General Assembly and then said he thinks Ukraine can totally roll back Russia (story notes it isn't clear if he meant pre-2022 boundaries or even pre-2014) shows he doesn't. That makes this Sept. 15 piece about how Trump "appears to have fairly cunningly outplayed Europe" incredibly stupid.

There's some stupidity in that piece otherwise.

If Ukraine were really launching drone attacks on Russia from the Baltic states, and it were serious enough, wouldn't Putin have a response?

As far as Simplicius getting back to tactical analysis? At that piece, one thing jumped out at me: None of his maps there have a distance scale. Maybe that's in general? You can make it look like Russia is doing a massive advance if you don't let the reader know the entire map, in its longer dimension, only covers 1 mile. Handwaving, it's called. 

I am snarking, of course, on the "Russian-controlled disinformation,' but he sure as hell opens himself up to that snark.