That's what it's looking like at 10 p.m., and I'm not surprised. Contra Brains (and others, Dems or Green-leaners, engaging in wishful thinking) I never expected Jacob Minter to crash his D into the runoff.
And, after hearing the Gainesville debate among Rethugs, I knew that Chris Watts hadn't done enough to distinguish himself from Shelly Luther, Drew Springer, Craig Carter and Andy Hopper, to pick up non-wingnut votes that would go to Minter instead. I mean, the Denton mayor couldn't even win the half of Denton County that's in the district.
So, will Springer's buying up RealShelleyLuther.com have an effect in the runoff more than it did in the initial round? Possibly, but that much?
Will any of the three R runners up endorse anybody? I mean, I assume Carter and Hopper backers break Luther, and Watts' probably breaks Springer, even without endorsements, but that could help turnout.
And, what will Minter's backers do. Stay home?
After all, the logical date for the runoff (yea, ballots have already been printed, but still) is Nov. 3, but we know that the same Gov. Strangebbott who cooked up this special election date along with Springer and the departing Pat Fallon would choose ANY date besides that, even if ballot printing costs were no object.
It will of course be after Nov. 3., but when? Is Strangeabbott hoping that if he waits longer, like December, ignoring his previous tender coronavirus concerns, that the boom for Luther will fade? I doubt it, especially assuming coronavirus ramps up and forces Abbott to be Jesuitical again on social distancing orders.
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