Both Inside Climate News, referencing James Hansen among others, and Live Science have the details.
First, it's coming, period and end of story.
Second, per Hansen, its likely effects are not only another wakeup call for the planet in general, and a wakeup call for wingnuts and denialists who won't listen, they're a wakeup call for climate change Obamiacs or climate change neoliberals (I use both terms), like Michael Mann, who have accused the likes of Hansen of being alarmist.
This:
Even a moderately strong El Niño during the next 12 to 18 months could drive the average global temperature to about 1.7 degrees Celsius above the preindustrial level, climate scientist James Hansen told Inside Climate News. Hansen doubts the world will meaningfully cool back down to below the 1.5 degree Celsius mark after the El Niño fades.
Is the reality.
The kumbaya that Mann, Katharine Hayhoe, Bob Kopp and others want to sing is not. And, like head-faking canaries in a coal mine, they keep singing.
And, the further part of the reality is that this is likely to be a strong one, not just a moderately strong one.
Per Live Science, the World Meteorological Organization has already issued a 61 percent of a "strong" El Niño, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has a 25 percent chance of a "very strong" one by November. (Cue somebody in the Trump Admin to try to quash that.)
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James Hansen says that due to increases in forcing, with an accelerating rate of global warming (discussed by me briefly here last month) this is likely to be a record year even without an El Niño.
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