SocraticGadfly: Pew Research tells Texas Dems to still be wary about "counting on" Hispanic votes

October 25, 2019

Pew Research tells Texas Dems to still be wary
about "counting on" Hispanic votes

I first blogged about this in detail six years ago, and did a follow-up four years ago. I provided some updates within that six-year piece about new demographic information.

I am NOT primarily talking about Texas Hispanic voters' abysmal turnout rates. That's a whole nother story and well known to many.

No, I'm talking about how many Texas Hispanics ain't Catholic (and maybe aren't social justice, let along libertarian theology, oriented within their Catholicism).

And, THAT is where the new Pew Research

Here, let's just let the image do the talking.


I think that's pretty obvious and self-explanatory. And I'll gander, that with allowances for rural Valley Texas, Texas overall matches Hispanic trends in greater NYC, Florida and the West Coast.

Protestants, especially of evangelical stripe, are more likely to vote Republican.

BUT! Protestants didn't replace those lost Catholics; Nones did, followed by non-Christian religious. Among Hispanic Christians, I'm guessing Santeria, etc. might be as much of the non-Christian rise as are Hispanic Buddhists, Hindus, etc. The biggie, though is the Nones.

And, especially among minorities, I don't think we have a strong grasp on how Nones vote. They may be less likely to vote Republican than Democrat, tis true. But they may also be more likely to look for third party or independent candidates, OR more likely to look to stay home if they don't find a close match.

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