SocraticGadfly: Was Lincecum really better than Halliday in NLDS?

October 15, 2010

Was Lincecum really better than Halliday in NLDS?

Baseball stats "guru" Bill James (scare quotes on purpose) claims that Tim Lincecum's 14K NLDS performance against the Braves was better than Roy Halladay's no-no against the Reds. And, as in this mano-a-mano story from ESPN, it's repeated ad nauseum.

But, Herr James overlooks that Braves vs. Reds, in the two hurlers' opponents, is a no comparison as far as bats the two faced. And that's why Halladay's night was better.

One other thing that James and those overly wedded to current sabermetrics miss. Hits, even if partially dependent on fielding, aren't 100 percent dependent, like they claim. At the same time, especially given a man in blue like Hunter Wendelstedt, walks are at least as much outside a pitcher's control today as are hits.

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