Fisk – Ahmadinejad won, but not by that much

Robert Fisk, esteemed historian and journalist, reporting from Tehran, says Mahmoud Ahmaninejad probably beat Mir Mousavi by about 53-37 percent, with the rest for the other two presidential candidates.

He also says he’s freely traveling around Tehran and nobody’s stopped him.

Take that, Sully and Juan Cole. Let's be real. Fisk his reported on the ground from Iran and other danger zones in the Middle East for decades. Although he hasn't said what the Guardian has about Western liberal pundits and wishful thinking, Fisk is a realist. Combine that with his nose to the ground, and I am sure he's more likely to be right than Sully or Cole.

So, if Fisk, and Leverett, and others, are right, that leads us back to cui bono, to use the old Latin.

And, again, I come back to the same name: Ayatollah (and former president) Akbar Rafsanjani.