SocraticGadfly

February 16, 2008

Soul ensoulment at conception has no scientific or medical basis

There’s a lot that a whole lot of pro-life people don’t know about human reproduction, from where I sit.

First, one-third of human conceptions are spontaneously aborted, usually due to major genetic or chromosomal abnormalities.

Often, a woman will think she’s missed a menstrual period, not yet recognizing she’s pregnant. Then, about two-three weeks later, she will have what appears to be a delayed period with much higher than normal bleeding.

No, it’s not; actually, she’s just had a spontaneous abortion.

And, that’s not all.

Neonatologists believe that many gestations actually begin as twins, whether one fertilized embryo quickly divides or two eggs get fertilized and implanted at the same time.

But, most births are singletons. What’s happening?

Darwinism (ooh, another nasty word to some) inside the womb.

If one fetus grows much slower than the other, it usually gets absorbed, or to be deliberately blunt, cannibalized by the other.

How do we know this?

Well, non-identical twins have different genetic makeups. We know of adults who, for example, have multiple blood types swimming inside their one bloodstream. Only one way that could have happened.

Other adults have cysts, that may turn cancerous or trigger autoimmune disorders, that have bits of bone or tissue from the “absorbed” twin.

Yes, this sounds unaesthetic, at least, and grotesque, at worst. That’s exactly the point.

To put it another way, for every two pair of “Precious Feet” we see on lapel pins, there’s one pair of terminally genetically damaged feet. Or, for every two pair of “Precious Feet” there’s probably at least three-four pair that have been “absorbed.”

That right there shows that the omnipotent deity of fundamentalists and conservative evangelicals isn’t so almighty after all.
A few sidebars here:

One — do NOT claim this is actually the result of “original sin.” You will thereby have ruled yourself entirely out of the bounds of rational, science-and-medicine based discourse on conception, pregnancy and abortion. Period.
(And, yes, like Ken Ham, some Xns actually will attribute the cause of anything wrong in our world to original sin.)
Two — neither the Tanakh nor the Christian New Testament use a Greek or Hebrew equivalent word, or even phrase, to “abortion.” The procedure, let alone a judgment upon it, simply isn’t mentioned.

Do NOT claim that the Mosaic Law comment about the fine a man is supposed to pay for assaulting a pregnant woman and causing a miscarriage has anything to do with abortion.

Three, this just shoots to hell, or Gitmo, the idea that “a soul is produced at conception.”

A. In the case of identical twins, then a second soul magically appears out of nowhere, unless you believe one soul magically split, too.

B. In the case of the “absorbed twin” embryos, one soul just got killed, by Religious Right logic; similarly, in the case of a spontaneous abortion, the mother just killed a soul. You gonna arrest a kid five minutes after birth for murdering his or her twin?


That said, I am open to some dialogue on this issue. Basically, on the politics of the issue, I favor converting our current trimester system on reproductive choice to a bimester system, while simultaneously federalizing freer reproductive choice in the first bimester and allowing states more latitude than they have now to install even more restrictive standards in the second bimester.

Speaking of "Mosaic Law," how do your birth conceptionsts address mosaics? Teratomas? Conjoined or regular "identical" twins? Ooops. And, yes, they all cause you problems.

February 15, 2008

A possible reason for CIA destruction of waterboarding tapes

Elimination of evidence from the upcoming Gitmo Six trials. Fits perfectly with how defense lawyers for Hamdan, KSM, etc. are getting stiffed every other way.

The truth behind Buffett’s offer to back up bond insurers — and how it could make the recession worse

Jon Markman lays out the less than idealistic details.

First, it’s only half a backstop. He’s only willing to reinsure low-risk muni bonds, not higher-risk private sector issues.

Second, it’s even more cynical than I first realized.
You almost have to admire the old buzzard’s devious but brilliant gambit, as it was the equivalent of a rich man walking into the parlor of a family about to lose its home to foreclosure and offering to buy all the good furniture, tapestries and china at pennies on the dollar.

His plan to provide backup insurance for $800 billion in guarantees would briefly shore up the finances of these devastated monoline insurers, to be sure, but it would also leave them with so much exposure to faltering debt instruments that the insurers would remain fully vulnerable to life-threatening downgrades from bond-rating outfits. …

Buffett is essentially asking the prayerful insurers to sell him the one thing they have ever made money on — muni guarantees — and hold on to the junk that no one can value. He is trying to rip out their throats while they’re up against the wall — the high-finance equivalent of a payday loan. He's suggesting they give up the tremendous long-term income stream generated by municipal bond issuers’ insurance payments for enough cash to get through the new next few months. …

The good news about Buffett’s move is that it exposed to the world just how disconnected the equity world is from the credit world. The gesture was greeted with a clueless surge in stock prices, but the debt world recognized the ineffable cynicism embedded in the Omaha, Neb., investor’s gesture and pushed risk spreads wider — their equivalent of a big thumbs down.

Markman also kindly reminds us of the exorbitant rates Buffett charged for terrorism insurance after 9/11.

Markman also notes that Buffett’s offer, which bond insurers have a month to accept, could force local governments to buy back major chunks of their municipal bond offerings.

Already, without this friendly offer from St. Warren, the credit crunch is hitting the muni bond market:
Already this week the world of seemingly low-risk credit got a lot more tense when a large set of bonds sold by municipalities with rates set through periodic auctions failed to attract much interest, requiring deal runners Citigroup and Goldman Sachs to commit their own thinning capital to the deals.

This is something that never happens, and the consequences are grave. Just to give you an idea, Bloomberg reports that rates on $100 million in bonds sold by the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey this week soared to 20 percent from 4.3 percent a week ago. Debt put on the block by Presbyterian Healthcare in Albuquerque, N.M., and New York state’s Metropolitan Transportation Authority met a similar fate, according to the wire service, as investors' confidence in the credit strength of the insurers has plummeted.

Twenty percent for bonds issued by a governmental agency as big as the Port Authority? That’s HUGE.

Clearly, something like the buyback effect of Buffett’s offer would likely have the primary effect of pushing us further into recession. Ambac and other bond insurers have a month to decide whether or not to swallow Buffett’s poison pill.

Four ways to seriously cut oil use

Think methanol, not ethanol, in many alt-fuel cases; think sugarcane not corn for when you do want ethanol; ban gas-only cars; fix the political process. Simply said by Gal Luft, but, of course, not easily done.

Waterboarding OK because it doesn’t cause ‘prolonged mental harm’ — I guess PTSD doesn’t count

Like Pol Pot instead of Torquemada

In his alternative reality unverse, Stephen Bradbury, the Department of Justice official serving as titleless head of the Office of Legal Counsel, says that issue, that waterboarding doesn’t cause “prolonged mental harm,” is part of why it’s legal.:
Under the mental side, Congress was very careful in the torture statute to have a very precise definition of severe mental pain or suffering. It requires predicate conditions be met and then, moreover, as we said in our opinion in December 2004, reading many cases, court cases, under the Torture Victims Protection Act, it requires an intent to cause prolonged mental harm. Now that's a mental disorder that is extended or continuing over time and if you've got a body of experience with a particular procedure that's been carefully monitored that indicates that you would not expect that there would be prolonged mental harm from a procedure, you can conclude that it's not torture under the precise terms of that statute.

I don’t know the universe Mr. Bradbury inhabits, but from what I’ve seen, waterboard can, if not always, cause PTSD.

And, that’s not “prolonged mental harm”? Just what IS prolonged mental harm, pray tell?

Oh, and just because waterboarding CIA-style isn’t like that of the Spanish Inquisition doesn’t mean that we’re not following other torturous regimes. Instead, it’s Khmer Rouge style.

Great. We’re like Pol Pot instead of Torquemada.

Consumers: Recession is here; pessimism highest since 1986

Contrary to Alan Greenspan or others, consumers believe we’re already in a recession, with consumer confidence hitting its lowest point since the George H.W. Bush recession in 1992. And some sentiment is even worse. The same survey says 86 percent of consumers believe the economy is in decline, the highest since the Reagan recession of 1982.

I think this reflects the reality that we’re going to have the worst recession since 1982.