First, it's clear that Israel wants to crush Hamas in Gaza. But, haven't we been through this, over and over, through the past 26-plus years, since 1982 Lebanon?
Hamas won't be crushed. Its leadership will move elsewhere, destabilizing Arab countries, whether Lebanon, Egypt or Jordan. (I don't see Hamas in Syria.) Israel increases Arab-world enmity and solves nothing. Meanwhile, Gaza itself becomes the locus for a grassroots intifada or similar.
Meanwhile, at the U.N. Security Council, the U.S. snuffs a cease-fire resolution. Shock me.
Now, if Israel's resolve is to crush Hamas, short of using scorched-earth tactics, this operation will run past Jan. 20. I'll take a guess that somebody pushes the Security Council for a new resolution under the new U.S. Obama Administration.
I'll also take a guess that the Obama Administration severely waters down anything with the threat of a similar veto.
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