AP says McCain within one point

Sorry, but I just don’t buy the new AP poll.

First, “Joe the Plumber” aside, there’s been no “October surprise” or close to it to move the ground like this.

Second, the only news McCain gets tends to lean negative.

Third, I can’t believe alleged vote fraud is that big of a “get.”

Fourth, I’d like to know AP’s GOP/Dem percentages on likely voter breakdown.

We now know the AP breakdown, and know exactly what is wrong with the poll.

AP assumes 44 percent of voters will be evangelical Christans, way above the 23 percent of 2004. No wonder people like Drudge are pushing this poll; it's more propaganda than social science.