SocraticGadfly

September 25, 2026

"Iran’s president says Tehran wants a deal with U.S. before midterm elections"

#BigIfTrue but …

But why would you, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, say this out loud? TRUMP saying the similar? No surprise.

But, Iran, which has kept the upper hand? Aren’t you surrendering it?

“We don’t want it to get to the midterm elections,” Pezeshkian said Thursday in a brief meeting with NBC News and other news organizations on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly.

“We wish Americans to return to the MOU before the midterms,” Pezeshkian added, referring to a memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran that laid out plans for a temporary ceasefire.

Sure sounds to me like a surrender.

One option of what’s behind this? Wrongfooting Trump’s comments at the UNGA:

“I believe we’ll make a deal right after the election because it doesn’t make sense for them not to,” Trump said. “They’re waiting to see how I do in the midterm election.”

In this case, we’re in the world of Shrub Bush strategery. Pezeshkian thinks Trump’s comment reflects that he’s worried about the midterms, and somebody is telling him that he’s got one week, no more, left before it’s too late to even mildly and consistently influence downward oil, gasoline and diesel prices before the election, and definitely before early voting starts in many states.

And, that bolded “consistently” is key.

We’re in the world of Trump peddling the latest round of Norman Vincent Peale vs Pezeshkian peddling the latest round of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khoumenei or something. And, since the ultimate audience for Trump’s peddling of Peale is one person — himself — Pezeshkian should know better.

I mean, even during Trump 1.0, it was pretty much a mug’s game for anybody trying to outthink him. Now, in Trump 2.0, the word “think” isn’t even operative.

Option 2 is that Iran is worried that in the “lame duck” session, Trump will be more pissed than now, especially if Democrats retake the Senate as well as the House in midterms. In that case, they must be looking at Kalshi and other predictions markets.

Option 3? Hardliners in the mullahs, Revolutionary Guards or other elements are pushing Pezeshkian and this is ultimately a statement for internal public consumption. Exactly what that pressure might be, I don’t know. I’m not an Iran expert, but, that said, I’ve heard nothing recently about such pressure.

There had been pressure before the UNGA, but that appears to have abated, per this piece. Note this:

A notable signal came from Yahya Rahim Safavi, a former commander-in-chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps who now serves as military adviser to [Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei].

“If the leader of the revolution has now deemed it in the country’s interest and has left the government open to negotiations, that is a very important act of prudence,” Maj Gen Safavi said, leaving room for talks without requiring Iran’s security establishment to describe them as a retreat.

So, right now, he’s OK again. Or is he?

Also from the same piece, note this:

The ultraconservative Kayhan newspaper warned that “New York is not a place for smiles and negotiations”, urging Mr Pezeshkian instead to turn the UN into “a courtroom for American crimes”. Other hardline voices have questioned whether Iran should have attended the General Assembly at all.

There you are.

Option 4 could be trying to further undercut Netanyahu’s UNGA visit, but per this piece, I don’t think that needs much help.


September 24, 2026

And more Substack blocks — vile Islamophobia and antisemitism

Gary Bolyer, a fundagelical who includes Islamophobia as part of his fundagelicalism.

Boatsailor566, an all-around creeptard. 

Nurit Steinfeld, an Israeli Zionist exceptionalist. 

Shirli Ganske — low-level Zionist, big level Trump Delusional Syndrome parader. 

==

Jordan Nuttall. Antisemitic not anti-Zionist with multiple "Rothschild" pieces. General conspiracy theorist about "great families," and adenochrome and other nuttery.

Books Behind Borders. Holocaust denialist. Damn, I need to remember to pull the trigger quicker; she blocked me first, and Substack blocking is non-reciprocal, another teh suck. I did report her before quote-stacking her.

==

Ronin: Supports BBB's Holocaust denialism, and is a 9/11 falser. 

==

September 23, 2026

Texas Progressives

Off the Kuff covered the most favorable poll Democrats have seen in many years. 

SocraticGadfly, from taking a wrong turn on summer vacation, wrote about "breeder reactor porn," of relevance with the continued push for data centers and such.

The Monthly notes that many Big Bend businesses are refusing service to people associated with border wall construction, and that this in turn is part of a larger division in the area. 

The Trib profiles the wingnut diaper dandy (and chickenshit friend of Mucus) who is the Dreamy Don Huffines' right-hand man in his overt politicization of the comptroller's office as its acting head. 

Neil at the Houston Democracy Project said upcoming October 17 No Kings protests have themes of early voting & election protection. Just the program. There will be No Kings protests across the Houston region. You can set one up on your corner. The next action is when you organize it.

Your Local Epidemiologist explains what AI can and cannot do in biosecurity.

The Dallas Observer notes Rep. Jasmine Crockett's Chris Brown troubles

 Space City Weather tells you what you need to know about Super El Nino.

Suzanne Bellsnyder reminds us that a state income tax is expressly forbidden by the constitution, no matter what those ads on TV say.

The Current argues that Trump's mass deportation scheme has left us a weaker nation.

September 22, 2026

Clickbait liars at the Texas Monthly vs Bo French's weaselshits and defenders

Texas media inaccuracies alert! Contra the header, and as the Monthly admits in the body of the story, no "Republicans" (as a body) have NOT NOT NOT "rebuke[d]" Bo French's racism.

More accurate? The Trib notes the awl bidness, the guys he could be regulating, have been largely silent about French's racism. 

More accurate yet? The Observer does a roundup of Rethuglicans still explicitly defending him. 

Among French’s defenders in the GOP is Matt Rinaldi, former chairman of the Texas Republican Party, who lauded French for “pushing the Overton window on immigration.” Texas state Representative Andy Hopper, who represents a North Texas district, attacked Cornyn as a “smug globalist” after the senator spoke out. State Republican Executive Committee member Rolando Garcia wrote that French’s post was not evidence of successful assimilation—the students are all wearing burnt orange and celebrating the sport of American football—but rather the problems of “mass migration” and “ethnic enclaves.” Monty Bennett, the publisher of the Dallas Express and a major Republican donor who has contributed $5,000 to French’s campaign, shared French’s post with a statement that appeared to endorse French’s assessment: “The problem is much bigger than UT. … America must prioritize Americans, always.” Brandon Hall, an elected member of the State Board of Education, wrote that he stood with French and asserted that the issue wasn’t about “skin color” but rather “preserving our Texas way of life.” And Jake Lloyd Colglazier, president of the Fort Worth Young Republicans, who was reported to have ties to white nationalists in 2022 and previously worked for a group Bennett quietly funded, wrote that French’s “perfectly reasonable post demonstrates the deleterious effect of mass immigration on our democratic system.”

And, re the Trib's "silence" of the oil and gas world, the Monthly goes on to note the silent weaselshits in the GOP. 

Instead of clearly picking a side, two of the most influential statewide Republicans also found ways to make statements without saying much about French at all. Governor Greg Abbott, who backed French’s opponent in the primary but has since endorsed him, didn’t condemn French, instead saying “that’s not my message,” calling the photo “selective,” and touting his recent freeze of H-1B visas at Texas universities. Texas Attorney General and U.S. Senate candidate Ken Paxton condemned “racism in all of its forms” without mentioning French while accusing his Senate election opponent, James Talarico, of being racially divisive.

Finally, there's past backbone, current weaselshit. 

At least once in the past, French backed down in the face of criticism over a similarly offensive post. Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick demanded French resign from his role as the Tarrant County GOP chair last year after French published a poll on X asking whether Jews or Muslims were a bigger threat to America. French deleted the post and said he regretted it. (Patrick has so far remained silent on social media regarding French’s latest post.)

There you are. 

September 21, 2026

Clutching pears, without tots, at Lone Star Left

Lone Star Left, which I consider meh at best, has a callout of Republicans for calling out Bo French's racism in the past while allegedly being racist themselves. Fail on the major premise that mid-decade redistricting was prima facie racist, but not shocked by Michelle Davis making the claim. It's also funny, with a photo showing an anonymous lady clutching "pearls," for Davis' text to repeatedly say "pears." Now, Rethuglicans WILL clutch pears when offering "tots and pears" for people killed in gun violence, but that's about it.

Davis is also one of those tribalist Dems who have quit Shitter but stay on Fuckbook, Hucksterman, or whatever you want to call it. You know, like hypocritical Popehat Ken White. Of course, being on Substack would itself be hypocritical.

September 18, 2026

The decline and fall of John Whitmire

The Observer does a deep-dive takedown of Houston Mayor John Whitmire, and even more, the position in which he's in, both on the state and feds eroding more and more of Houston's strong-mayor powers, and with the city of Houston itself not what he — and maybe not just Sly Turner before him but Annise Parker before that — have claimed about it. 

Speaking of that? This pull quote:

Taken altogether, Whitmire is a nominally “strong” mayor with a relatively meager voter mandate, presiding over a once-mighty fiefdom in decline. And while Houston is no stranger to tragedy, he appears hardly able to confront the torrent of problems washing over his city. Municipal procedure here has for years been captured by the “task force” that goes nowhere, the “committee” that solves nothing. In those all-too-brief moments when the council chambers suddenly show signs of life, state Republicans are quick to intervene. How, then, did the strongest mayor in America become so weak? And even if Whitmire could get his way, what would that way look like?

Is a good summary. Read the whole thing. 

I knew Whitmire was a fair chunk of ConservaDem, but didn't know the details. 

ON the other hand? The idea that Houstonians are fleeing for the outer suburbs? Per Wiki, Houston's rate of population growth since 2020 has been faster than Phoenix, albeit slower than San Antonio. Here in Tex-ass, it's the same rate as Austin. Among major suburbs, it's faster than Plano and Houston's own Pearland and almost as fast as League City, both of which are outer suburbs if not exurbs. And, it's not losing population, unlike Sugar Land.

As with the Observer in the past, like the Monthly and the Trib, I've tagged the mag and the author on Shitter. As in the past, I expect no response, and even told Russek this.  I have created a new tag: Texas media inaccuracies.