Here's the reality behind that 3.5 percent September unemployment rate that she breathlessly pushed:
Employers added 263,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said on Friday. It was the slowest month of hiring in 18 months, showing the red-hot job market is cooling slightly as the Federal Reserve hits the brakes on the economy.
The unemployment rate fell to a 50-year low of 3.5% in September as businesses continued to hire from a shrinking pool of workers. The labor participation rate fell slightly, indicating fewer people are working or looking for a job.
There you go.
Yes, per the rest of the piece, it's still a tight job market.
It may "loosen up" once we actually get into recession.
Meanwhile, the piece also notes that the hiring numbers have been sliding for a few months.
The job market has been weakening for the past few months, with the three-month average job gains shrinking from roughly 530,000 a month at the start of the year to 370,000 today. Job openings fell by more than a million in August, to the lowest level since June 2021.
Quitting? Home sales money to make that easier? Just "taking a break"?
Meanwhile, there's the final angle, as the piece also notes.
If the Fed sees the unemployment rate, by itself, as a sign that inflation is still untamed, it may jack interest rates yet again even as gas prices are back on the rise.
Add to the mix? The nation's No. 3 railroad union rejected the contract that Amtrak Joe brokered to head off the strike. Per that link, via Mike Elk, a strike isn't imminent; the degree of opposition isn't high enough. Four unions have ratified the deal, per the link; seven others are in the voting process of 12 total, leaving the Teamsters' sub-union as the first to vote no. Nothing is expected before Nov. 19, which puts it past the midterms.
So, even to the degree this might be good news for #BlueAnon for the midterms? It could be catastrophic after that.
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