SocraticGadfly: Who gets in Cooperstown this year? Who should?

November 27, 2019

Who gets in Cooperstown this year? Who should?

The BBWAA's ballot was released last week, and one name among first-year eligibles is obvious.

Derek Jeter is going in.

(Let's hope it's not unanimous.)

BUT!

With this Jetes caveat:
There ya go.

Other first-year eligibles?

Bobby Abreu is of the Hall of Very Good, IMO. But no more than that. (And NO, dumbasses at Fansided, you do NOT compare WAR of other position players to catchers.)

Jason Giambi is the only other first-year eligible, after lingering long past his sell-by date, to be over 50 WAR. And, of course, he's got the roiding asterisk.

Cliff Lee? Remember when he was hot stuff? Then when he dropped off a cliff, as shown by his JAWS being almost equal to his total WAR?

Alfonso Soriano, in his first half-dozen full seasons, looked like he might be something, stone glove aside, then he fell to zip, too. (Well, he did after having a walk year career year with the Nats.)

Otherwise, my Tweet above pretty well says it all.

What about the returning eligibles?

Let's set aside the roider types and start with:


Yes, a 141 OPS+

BUT, that was with many years at Coors Field.

HOWEVER, OPS+, unlike the counting stats, is park neutralized.

BUT, the batting average portion of the OBP and SLG both? Even without homers, the bigger OF let more balls drop for hits in general.

OTOH, a great right fielder with seven Gold Gloves.

BUT, that includes two years when he had a negative dWAR (showing why, in a nutshell, the Fielding Bible awards took off).

In a nutshell, on the offensive side, he shows how tough it is to judge a Coors-based player. Plus, there's the injuries and such that cut into his counting stats, and badly.

I would be OK if he were in, OK not.

Brief comments on two other players.

Curt Schilling will probably continue to get dinged by writers for being a jackass. He may be a HOFer, but I'm OK with him getting dinged.

Omar Vizquel is not a HOFer. Don't go soft, writers.

The roiding group? I used to say dead no to Clemens and Bonds, but their managers La Russa and Torre are now in. BBWAA, at least talk to the Veterans Committee? Other alleged or actual roiders? Sheffield and Pettitte aren't HOFers just on straight sabermetrics.

On the other hand? Clemens as someone who did the ethical equivalent of statutory rape and remains unapologetic fails the morals clause.

Manny Ramirez? Sabermetric and counting numbers are a borderline yes. But, he's a repeat offender on masking agents, and all of this after tightening in federal law on steroids as well as MLB rules. Nope.

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