I say it’s Obama 304, Romney 234 in the presidential election. Obama wins all the “swing states” except Florida, and takes the “Omaha EV” in Nebraska.
Beyond that? Here’s a couple more.
Here’s my other “electoral vote” predictions. Conspiracy theories alleged against the other half of the bipartisan divide - GOP 346, Dems 192. Actual conspiracies committed? GOP 458, Dems 80. (That's not counting the 538-0 conspiracy against third parties committed by both of them.)
Of Obama winning, 95 percent.
Of Obama finding a backbone and gonads, instead of a belief in his vocal charm, to stand up to McConnell in his second term? About 5 percent.