SocraticGadfly: BP will face a real storm this summer ... a Katrina-like one?

May 15, 2010

BP will face a real storm this summer ... a Katrina-like one?

Oops, oops, oops.

Forecasters are predicting an above-average Atlantic hurricane season. Eastern Atlantic temperatures are already pushing record highs for this time of year, and there's little to no El Nino to shear off upper-level circulatory winds.

What might a few big storms do to that oil?
Storms may scuttle clean-up efforts, force containment vessels to retreat, or propel spilled crude and tar balls over vast expanses of sea and beach, scientists said.

Meteorologists say that climate conditions are ripe for an unusually destructive hurricane season, the storm-prone period that runs from June 1 to the end of November in the Gulf. Oceanographers say that could hurt the clean-up.
Storms? In the plural? It may only take one, right? Yep.
"It only takes one storm to wreak havoc," said Chris Shabbot, a meteorologist at Sempra in Connecticut. "The consensus forecast is for above average storm activity as the El Nino (event) decays and the Atlantic is as warm or warmer than 2005."
Let me see ... didn't the Gulf have another disaster in 2005? Oh, yeah, Katrina. And not just Katrina. 2005 was chock-full of monster hurricanes pounding the Gulf.

Meanwhile, since we don't even know right now where that spewing oil will settle, we have no idea where or how a hurricane will disperse it.

Bet that wasn't in BP's disaster planning either.

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