SocraticGadfly: Financial managers smoking crack?

January 03, 2008

Financial managers smoking crack?

Despite the fact that a recession seems likely this year, financial managers predicted the S&P 500 would finish the year up 8 percent.
Confidence ran high for the S&P in 2008, with 33 percent saying it would gain 8 percent and 23 percent estimating a surge of more than 10 percent. The S&P closed 2007 up about 2.1 percent.

Nice to see that De Nial is a river still flowing strong in today’s financial world.

2 comments:

Mr Elf said...

I think you may be surprised here. All the money the fed is printing has to go somewhere. As the inflation rates keep rocking along at 10-12% year over year, a 8-10% gain in the Dow is at best standing still.

You have to agree that $1 today compared to 2000 has lost a good % of its real value. So even though the markets may be up, the actual value will be down.

Inflation is like carbon monoxide, it kills you slowly with no visible odor.

Gadfly said...

Well, it can go overseas or get hoarded. Money growth in one country doesn't necessarily mean economic growth in the same country.