November 04, 2011

GOP: Who wins if #PIzzaMan Cain crashes and burns?

And, with a third woman (who had not filed a formal complaint) alleging that Cain sexually harassed her around the same time as two other women at National Restaurant Association offices, and that he allegedly acted inappropriately in some way in Iowa in the last month, and in the office of arguably Iowa's top conservative radio talk guy, Cain WILL crash and burn. We still don't know how quickly and how badly, but it will.

First, will this feed into stereotypes still deep inside the head of  many an old white Republican: That black men are all oversexed? If those are still floating around and latent, he WILL fall hard.

So, who "wins"?

If there were a woman in the race less batshit-crazy than Michele Bachman, that would be my No. 1 guess; a sympathy vote of sorts for a woman able to exploit it. But, that's not the case.

Rick Perry? Not after his episode of being looped out on pain meds in New Hampshire (if he indeed asn't drunk). That probably was the last nail in his coffin.

Sit DOWN Ron Paul and you Paul-tards. No big win for you. Even with more GOP activiist voters in Iowa and New Hampshire more batshit-crazy, you're still not doing much better than 2008.

Newt? Even as opportunist as he is, to try to exploit womanizing? He'd fall flat on his face.

So, who benefits?

Two people. Mitt Romney. And Barack Obama. (On the other hand, the usually-insightful NYT columnist Charles Blow says Cain wins, at least within the GOP.)

Between Perry's meltdown and Pizza Man's "heat up" (heh, heh), combined with Plastic Woman's lack of traction, Romney gains. And, in a sense, loses. A semi-early set of primary wins leaves most the batshitty of the tea party staying home. Ron Paul's goldbugs hang in, making the party look crazier yet. The GOP establishment doesn't jump to Huntsman, so he looks at Americans Elect.

And, so, Romney faces a general election with little party enthusiasm.

Hence, Barack Obama wins. (Cain is blaming Obama, indirectly, via Rahm Emanuel in addition to blaming Perry. Perry's blaming the Mittster.)

And, now, The Mittster obviously sees Cain as wounded and wants to go for the kill, as much as possible, in Iowa; he's targeting Perry with new robo-calls. But, if Charles Blow is right, Romney may be wrong.

And, just maybe, third parties win.

Losers? Mitch Daniels, Chris Christie,etc. That said ... was a dalliance by Mitch .... or Mrs. Mitch, divorced, then married back to him ... part of the reason he didn't run?

1 comment:

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