Conspiracy: Why the Rational Believe the Irrational by Michael Shermer
My rating: 1 of 5 stars
This
is an expanded version of the Goodreads review for inside baseball
Skeptics™,pseudoskepticism reasons. Semi-regular readers here should
know that I'm not a huge fan of Shermer, and this book only makes it
worse.
Let's dig in on the expansion.
This is a
horrible book, not on the conspiracy theories, which I don't need
Shermer to tell me, but on him totally getting wrong the one actual
conspiracy he discusses, which is why this is 1-starred on a grok.
Rather
than there being JUST and ONLY an Austrian conspiracy against Serbia in
1914, the assassination of Franz Ferdinand instead traces directly
through one "Apis," head of both Serbian military intelligence and the
secret society named The Black Hand, and also directly or semi-directly
through confederates of Apis in the nationalist organization Narodna
Odbrana, to Serbian Prime Minister Pasic. All of this and more is
documented by Christopher Clark in the excellent book "The
Sleepwalkers," which Shermer ACTUALLY REFERENCES and then ignores for Tim Butcher's "The Trigger," which is
A. A piece of crap and
B. Only about 10-20 percent about lead assassin Gavrilo Princip and 80-90 percent directly or indirectly about Tim Butcher.
Shermer's right that this is arguably the world's deadliest conspiracy. He's dead wrong about where the conspiracy started.
==
The
rest of the book, without this egregious ax-grinding, would probably be
3 stars, no more, so, even without this, it's not worth a read. It's a
basic definition of conspiracy vs conspiracy theories, basic overview on
why many people believe in conspiracy theories, and how to try to talk
to them.
But, surely Shermer could have found something else to
discuss as a true conspiracy. Rather, it appears that, following in
Butcher's footsteps despite having read Clark's documenting the likely
ties to the Serbian government, and despite mentioning the Black Hand,
even in an overall superficial treatment (and even talking about an
assassination conspiracy, though trying to limit it to just the Black
Hand, if that), he thought he could use some intellectual judo to show
an Austrian conspiracy.
In reality, despite Conrad having been
pushing for pre-emptive war with Serbia for years, even after the
assassination, the Dual Monarchy was divided on going to war. And,
trying to treat its Byzantine turns in just a few pages will be a good
way to get superficial treatment even if not wrong — which, of course,
Shermer is. And, I can say that as having read "The Sleepwalkers" TWICE.
==
It's also bad for those other, inside baseball reasons.
First, citing libertarian pseudoskeptic and convicted felon Brian Dunning will get you nowhere in my book.
Second
and related, attacking the tobacco merchants and climate change deniers
when, at a minimum, I don't think you have ever publicly called out
Penn and Teller for promoting both of them, and I'm not sure they've
ever backtracked on climate change, is an issue. You yourself, in fact,
albeit to a lesser degree than Dunning, have mixed libertarianism and
skepticism at times, including on climate change (and Kurzweil's "singularity"). You've also mixed both with bad political hot takes, like on Occupy Wall Street.
In addition, you and Dunning blocked me at Skepticblog, in part because I called out both you and Dunning on the libertarian pseudoskepticism, and you and the Not-So-Always-Amazing Randi also had at least a couple of toes in the world of #MeToo problems, including, allegedly, personally having committed sexual assault, and also, at Skeptic mag, you've been at a minimum, a racialist fellow traveler, tackled again here in passing when talking about Pop Ev Psych and sexism.
And, to tie this all into one nice neat bow, the actual Serbian
conspiracies, of which its prime minister almost certainly had some
foreknowledge, and its army intelligence even more? Driven by
ethnic-based Serbian nationalism, which isn't too many stones' throws
away from racialism, as Serbia's post-1989 history shows. (Not that
Croatia's been a lot better.)
Beyond that is Shermer's ignorance of actual philosophy. Or him being "no true Scotsman" at times on skepticism in his personal life.
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