Could soon be upon us, if you follow Stephen Walt’s reasoning, and take it to a pessimistic end game, not an optimistic one. I do follow his reasoning, and to that end.
I’m assuming that Bib Netanyahu will put together a Likud-led right-wing government to lead Israel. I’ll assume also that he takes a page out of Karl Rove’s playbook and governs to a 51 percent majority, or, if you will, to 61 members of Israel’s Knesset.
In that case, a Palestinian state is dead.
Will “street” Palestinians settle for autonomy, in an ever-more-fragmented West Bank?
No. And, the demographics keep moving against Israel.
Even with a dottering Mubarak in Egypt and a toothless Abdullah in Jordan, something will give. If it doesn’t from them, more radical Arab leaders will push harder.
A skeptical leftist's, or post-capitalist's, or eco-socialist's blog, including skepticism about leftism (and related things under other labels), but even more about other issues of politics. Free of duopoly and minor party ties. Also, a skeptical look at Gnu Atheism, religion, social sciences, more.
Note: Labels can help describe people but should never be used to pin them to an anthill.
As seen at Washington Babylon and other fine establishments
February 10, 2009
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