That's what Politico is claiming.
Sure.
Looking at the two main statewide races?
Talafreako consistently has a small lead on Kenny Boy Paxton. That could change with Trump's big ad buy. Or it could not. In most cases, the lead is within the margin of polling error.
Gina Hinojosa and Strangeabbott keep flip-flopping, and neither one has posted a lead beyond the margin of error in any poll.
And, where have I heard this before?
Oh, yeah, already 20 years ago, jefe Gilberto Hinojosa was bleating about Hispanic demography turning Texas blue.
I first wrote about that issue, not quite 20 years ago, but yes almost 15. My most in-depth follow-up was two years later.
It's like finding a pile of hay and thinking that means a pony is inside it. Kuff isn't alone among Texas Democrats believing this shit.
Could it happen? Yeah, but I'll believe it when I see it. It's like the Hood County voters butt-hurt about data centers but refusing to vote to incorporate themselves to give themselves at least a modicum of control.
A lot of speakers at meetings and such are anti-virtue signaling. Maybe that's the same in polls.
Many of these folks are "Yellow dog Republicans," to riff on an old phrase. They're telling Abbott they'll vote him out. They're telling the polls that. They're even smartly not trusting him on his data center "audits." The high-voltage power line additions? Strangeabbott is out of step even with non-rural elected leaders in his own party. I know Lite Guv Dannie Goeb explicitly asked the PUC not to approve them and let next year's Lege take a further look.)
But actually vote for Hinojosa? Many will stay home, sure. A few savvy ones may vote Libertarian or write-in.
But, actually pulling the D lever? I doubt it.
If I'm wrong, I'll admit it after Election Day. If Dems, or Politco, are wrong I invite them to do the same. I won't hold my breath. Otherwise, as I told Kuff, this is like actual AI, or nuclear fusion power. It's always going to be just around the corner.
Back to the story, first with Greg Torres from rural McCulloch County:
Torres in McCulloch County said Texans are going to have to make a choice about the state’s future.
Do they want the romanticized version of Texas — with cowboys and wide open spaces — or a Texas that’s hyperfixated on business?
“Are we just going to sell off our version of Texas for money?” Torres asked.
Torres said he still plans to vote for Abbott. He said Abbott is responsive to public pressure, even though he doesn’t think Abbott is sincere in his attempts to regulate data centers or lessen the impacts of the 765-kV lines.
There you are.
As for the rural voters? Especially if you live west of I-35, climate change is coming for your farms and ranches. The "hollowing out" will only continue.
As for Suzanne Bellsnyder? She's a hypocrite on water use, and surely knew that Strangeabbott was a fake on rural understanding back in 2014.
And, if Hinojosa DOES win? She'll be one-term. GOP talking heads will find somebody better than Strangeabbott. She'll be stuck with a Lege in opposition, to boot, and Goeb perhaps relishing the opportunity to play obstructionist and also to play gov kingmaker. (Hell no he doesn't want it himself. Get a clue.)
Finally, the story was two weeks old when Kuff posted it. (That's where I saw it.) Things change near the election finish line.
