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February 10, 2009

The death of Palestinian statehood …

Could soon be upon us, if you follow Stephen Walt’s reasoning, and take it to a pessimistic end game, not an optimistic one. I do follow his reasoning, and to that end.

I’m assuming that Bib Netanyahu will put together a Likud-led right-wing government to lead Israel. I’ll assume also that he takes a page out of Karl Rove’s playbook and governs to a 51 percent majority, or, if you will, to 61 members of Israel’s Knesset.

In that case, a Palestinian state is dead.

Will “street” Palestinians settle for autonomy, in an ever-more-fragmented West Bank?

No. And, the demographics keep moving against Israel.

Even with a dottering Mubarak in Egypt and a toothless Abdullah in Jordan, something will give. If it doesn’t from them, more radical Arab leaders will push harder.

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