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June 26, 2020

Sleepy Joe vs Trumpty Dumpty in Texass, Floriduh
and Black Detroit (and likely other Black areas)



Large chunks of Black America, especially younger voters, have ZERO enthusiasm for Status Quo / Sleepy Joe. Can you blame them? As a White third-party voter, I can't. (As a for-now Green, I'd like to see them consider their options more, but right now, I'm not sure what options to offer them, per my "for-now.")

But, the largely White protestors at the Capitol Hill Organized Protest overseeing the Seattle Autonomous Zone do. After four shootings in the allegedly self-policed neighborhood, they were told by organizers to go home and continue the revolution by voting Biden. (That said, the organizer delivering the message is Black.)

That said, even Faux shows Sleepy within a point of Trumpty Dumpty here in Texass. Trump's margin is bigger, though, when adjusted for the expected lack of Hispanic voter turnout. Will Bob on a Knob O'Rourke help that? See above about Detroit. Every four years, of course, we hear "this is the year." And it isn't.

Besides, more and more Hispanics are becoming evangelical Protestant (like Rafael Edward Cruz's daddy) and thus less and less of a guarantee for Democrats. Pew Research looked at this as late as early last year. And I had a bigger picture piece on Texas Democrats and Hispanic presumptions a few years ago.

Other big takeaway? Faux elsewhere says Trump is down 9 in Florida. That's a biggie.

Five Thirty Eight says things could shift, but notes Status Quo for Sleeping has the biggest prez polling lead at this point since the Slickster in 1996. But Big Bill wasn't content and still signed off on "welfare reform" two months later.

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