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October 24, 2022

Beto-Bob is within 2 points of Strangeabbott? Color me skeptical

That's the claim of a new poll from Beacon Research posted today, that claims Beto-Bob, aka Robert Francis O'Rourke, is within 3 percentage points of Greg Abbott, and 2 percentage points among definite voters.

It contradicts everything we've heard in the past couple of weeks, or even past month, that said O'Rourke's effort to close the gap has stalled out, as I blogged just earlier today about the UT poll from late last week. It's why I doubted, a week ago, that Beto would catch up. In addition, among people who have identified as very likely voters in previous polls, the gap between the two has been GREATER than among plain old registered voters, and here the gap is a percentage point SMALLER.

And, as KXAN notes at the first link, Beacon does polling on behalf of progressive groups and Democrats. Stuff like this is GOTV efforts disguised as polls, no matter who does it.

To put it more bluntly?

"Dear Beacon: Try not to be so obvious."

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