Graphic via New York Times |
What
if modern technological devices won’t cause another “industrial revolution”?
What if the current economic growth rate isn’t just do to recovery from a
fiscal crisis, but something more momentous and longer lasting?
And,
what effects might it have? Will it further increase the income inequality
already being fueled by the likes of the Koch Brothers?
The
New York Times takes a serious look at this issue.
Now,
my only formal study of economics was a high school semester of intro to
macroeconomics. So, I’m not qualified to comment too much on the piece.
That
said, regular readers here know that I loathe the idea of American
exceptionalism, whether a Christianity-based version of the religious right or
a more secular version espoused by neoliberal Democrats, and undercut it
whenever I can.
So,
is this great decline at least possible? You bet. Given neoliberal Democrats’
ties to Silicon Valley (including the anti-unionism it has), is it possible
that said neolibs have overestimated the long-term economic potential of tech
devices, and that they have especially overestimated them because most of the
manufacture is done abroad, primarily in China? Certainly.
Is
it also true that neoliberals haven’t done a lot more about income inequality
than old-fashioned conservatives? Indeed.
So,
if you’re not an Obamiac or Clintonite, especially — or if you are, but you’re
an open-minded one, click that NYT link and read through.
I do
hope Gordon isn’t correct. But, what if he is? There’s other factors at play,
like an aging country with retiring Baby Boomers spending less. Even if Gordon
is too dour with a 0.2 percent growth estimate … 0.5 wouldn’t be much, and is
certainly a realistic guesstimate.
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