Seeing this election unfold, I’ve been thinking about what
could have, and should have been, a classic of an election back in 1968. Having
read about Nixon's end-of-October 1968 arguable treason (to me, it meets the definition; it certainly violated the Logan Act) in gutting the peace
talks, through back door channels to Saigon, and including the Christian
Science Monitor killing a scoop about it, plus, reading a great new book called
“The Ex-Presidents’ Club, I keep thinking about this “classic” presidential
election we never got to have.
What a "great" election we would have had with
Tricky Dick vs. LBJ. (And, had he wanted to, with 1968 still largely dependent
on caucuses, and the machine politicians who controlled them in many cases, LBJ
probably could have gotten the Democratic nod, if he wanted to fight. After
all, well in advance, he had picked Chicago to host the 1968 convention not for
the beauties of Lakeshore Drive but the undeniable eminence of His Honor
Richard Daley, mayor of Chicago.
Just think ... the two most paranoid presidents ever,
running against each other. Epic.
And, let’s keep the one other actual element from 1968,
speaking of paranoiacs — George Wallace as a third-party candidate.
It’s probable, that with nobody even coming as close as
Humphrey’s almost-last-minute call for a bombing halt, that many people who
voted in the Democratic primaries for Bobby Kennedy or Eugene McCarthy would
have stayed home. (That then said, the authors of the book above claim that
half of McCarthy’s votes in New Hampshire, it was later discovered (later
because exit polling was primitive to nonexistent in 1968) backed him because
they didn’t think LBJ was hawkish enough.
LBJ kept public silence about the Nixon campaign’s duplicity
with Saigon. But not private silence; he let both Nixon and Humphrey know
directly that he knew. (I’m not sure about Wallace.)
Had he been in the race himself? Different story. There
would have been some leaking to the press, plus hints that he was going to send
somebody to talk in Paris before election day, whether anybody from Saigon
showed up or not.
But, let’s not stop there. Per a Facebook friend, this would
be a great Harry Turtledove alt-history book.
Especially if Wallace were also in the race, as in reality,
and, let's say, nobody got 270 electoral votes and this baby went to the House.
Can you imagine the wheelings and dealings? Nixon would be the one more
simpatico to Wallace on domestic issues, but, could Wallace deliver Southern
Democrats in the House to Nixon?
And, yes, if you look at the actual 1968 results, per Wikipedia, the race could have gone to the House. Give Wallace and/or Johnson, combined, any three of these five Southern states that went for Nixon — Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee and Virginia — and the race is in the House.)
And, yes, if you look at the actual 1968 results, per Wikipedia, the race could have gone to the House. Give Wallace and/or Johnson, combined, any three of these five Southern states that went for Nixon — Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee and Virginia — and the race is in the House.)
Then, per the last election that did go to the House, what
if, after Wallace were eliminated, Johnson and Nixon deadlocked at 25 states
each? Neither would have been any more willing to step aside than, before the
12th Amendment, Aaron Burr was for Thomas Jefferson.
Under the Presidential Succession Act, that would have made
the Speaker of the House, who would also be presiding over this deadlocked
election, acting President.
Would the then-current Speaker, the aging John McCormack,
have angled to keep the vote deadlocked, to benefit? Or done anything partisan to
try to help Johnson?
Meanwhile, here's the election I really wish we had had — Bobby Kennedy beating Nixon and Nixon's Veep, Reagan.
Meanwhile, here's the election I really wish we had had — Bobby Kennedy beating Nixon and Nixon's Veep, Reagan.
This, in turn,
is another reminder that the U.S. Constitution is antiquated in a number
of ways.
I often imagine how different things might have been had Henry Wallace succeeded FDR instead of Harry Truman.
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