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November 05, 2009

No Copenhagen climate treaty this year?

British Climate Secretary Ed Miliband says expect only a political deal, not an actual treaty.

No real surprise there. And, contra warnings from UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, Denmark's Prime Minister Lars Loekke Rasmussen and US chief climate negotiator Todd Stern that only a "politically binding" agreement can now be achieved, I wouldn't even hold my breath on that, especially given that Mr. Stern's boss is unlikely to see, or motivate, the Senate passing a climate-control bill.

Some EU delegates blame legal complexities, but at least one developing-nation representative rejects that. Says South Africa's Alf Wills, who co-ordinates the G77/China bloc of developing countries on extending the Kyoto Protocol,:
"China has published a five-year plan, India has published proposals, as has Brazil - and a few weeks ago Indonesia said it would cut the rate of growth of emissions by 40%, doing 26% of that by itself (without outside aid)."

Read the full story for more analysis.

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