In a blind test, the AP gave temperature data to four independent statisticians and asked them to look for trends, without telling them what the numbers represented. The experts found no true temperature declines over time.
“If you look at the data and sort of cherry-pick a micro-trend within a bigger trend, that technique is particularly suspect,” said John Grego, a professor of statistics at the University of South Carolina.
In fact, Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner may have to eat the words of their subtitle by the end of next year. Due to expectations the current El Niño will get stronger in 2010, NASA climate scientist Gavin Schmidt predicts 2010 may break 2005’s (NOT 1998’s, you denialists) record for hottest recorded year.
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