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May 06, 2008

Rush 7 percent effect in Indiana?

Did Rush Limbaugh’s “marching orders” for Indiana Republicans to cross over and vote Hillary really make up 7 percent of the Democratic electorate, as Obama claims?
Indiana exit polls showed that four in ten Democrats who said they would vote for McCain over Clinton in a general election nonetheless voted for Clinton on Tuesday; however, just twelve percent who would vote for McCain over Obama voted for the Illinois senator.

However, as Obama has lost Indiana by less than 7 percentage points, the most obvious thing is that this is Obama spin: “Real Democrats would have given Obama the state.” That of course ignores crossovers for Obama in places like New Hampshire.

Besides, other folks, like Crooks and Liars, minimize the Rush effect. (Will popping Rush give you a headache in the men’s room?)

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