Probably so. Even if we withdraw from Iraq ASAP, many of our Army and Marine units there are too battle-fatigued to do well in what could be even rougher fighting in Afghanistan.
Fact is that we haven’t taken more casualties there because our soldiers already there, as well as those of NATO allies, don’t even occupy half the country.
And, due to almost 20 years of war, from expelling the Soviets to civil war after that and on to post-9/11 action, the Taliban is more hardened, and more battle-smart, than Iraqi insurgents.
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