February 18, 2016
Cell phones and polling for #FeelTheBern
Beyond the obvious minority levels, the Census Bureau reminds us that, unlike Iowa and New Hampshire, Nevada is also slightly younger than the national average. We know that cord-cutting is a lot more common among younger age cohorts. And, among the poorer.
Finally, we know that Sanders supporters trend younger.
The age gap, for all we know, may be the biggest in a presidential campaign since Clean Gene McCarthy in 1968, or at least since McGovern in 1972.
For a few years now, there's been discussion of what pollsters are, or are not, doing to address the cord-cutter issue in general.
Pew said last year that it would add to the percentage of cellphones in its research survey calling. However, that's research surveying, not presidential preference polling.
lead to a conundrum.
We'll see how the latest version of the conundrum shakes out on Saturday and in days ahead.