SocraticGadfly: My electoral vote predictions

November 05, 2012

My electoral vote predictions


I say it’s Obama 304, Romney 234 in the presidential election. Obama wins all the “swing states” except Florida, and takes the “Omaha EV” in Nebraska.

Beyond that? Here’s a couple more.

Here’s my other “electoral vote” predictions. Conspiracy theories alleged against the other half of the bipartisan divide - GOP 346, Dems 192. Actual conspiracies committed? GOP 458, Dems 80. (That's not counting the 538-0 conspiracy against third parties committed by both of them.)

Odds?

Of Obama winning, 95 percent.

Of Obama finding a backbone and gonads, instead of a belief in his vocal charm, to stand up to McConnell in his second term? About 5 percent.

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